L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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1. FC Saarbrücken v Rot-Weiss Essen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-09 14:32 UTC

Score final : 1. FC Saarbrücken 5–2 Rot-Weiss Essen

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Local)

Prévision 34.71%2.88cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -1.65%
Kelly -2.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.75%34.75%34.66%35.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.592.552.7541.67%38.60%39.22%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Rot-Weiss Essen (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.45%2.53cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.92%39.54%39.55%41.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.292.302.4748.78%43.64%43.48%40.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.84%3.87cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.477%
Kelly -0.648%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.71%25.71%25.79%26.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.523.503.8031.25%28.43%28.57%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : 1. FC Saarbrücken (Local) : 34.71% ; Rot-Weiss Essen (Visiteur) : 39.45% ; Match nul : 25.84%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.87. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.80, pour une espérance de -1.81% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -4.55%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -15.18%E -7.06%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.71%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.71%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:05
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:40
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.19%EV -5.94%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.61%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.20%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -1.81%E -0.477%K -0.648%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -10.05%E -4.41%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -3.11%E -0.828%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 13:37
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 14:05
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 09:15
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -4.40%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 11:30
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Suprabets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -1.81%E -0.477%K -0.648%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.69%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -4.40%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:34
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.36%EV -13.99%E -6.42%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-09 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.18%E -7.06%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-09 09:14
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -19.12%E -9.33%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -17.32%E -5.41%K -7.87%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-09 14:25
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -14.96%E -6.11%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -17.15%E -8.17%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.32%E -5.41%K -7.87%G +0.000%19.7%2026-08-09 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.35%EV -16.70%E -6.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -17.15%E -8.17%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%17.9%2026-08-09 09:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-08-09 14:25