StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

1. FC Saarbrücken v Rot-Weiss Essen

Matchstart: 2026-08-09 14:32 UTC

Slutresultat: 1. FC Saarbrücken 5–2 Rot-Weiss Essen

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

43 spelbolag (11 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Hemma)

Prognos 34.71%2.88rättvist odds
EV -4.55%
Fördel -1.65%
Kelly -2.60%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.75%34.75%34.66%35.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.592.552.7541.67%38.60%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Rot-Weiss Essen (Borta)

Prognos 39.45%2.53rättvist odds
EV -2.55%
Fördel -1.03%
Kelly -1.74%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.47

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.92%39.54%39.55%41.89%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.292.302.4748.78%43.64%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.84%3.87rättvist odds
EV -1.81%
Fördel -0.477%
Kelly -0.648%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.71%25.71%25.79%26.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.523.503.8031.25%28.43%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Hemma): 34.71%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Borta): 39.45%; Oavgjort: 25.84%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.87. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.80, med väntevärdet -1.81%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (43 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -4.55%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -15.18%E -7.06%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.71%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.71%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:05
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:40
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.19%EV -5.94%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.61%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.20%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -1.81%E -0.477%K -0.648%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -10.05%E -4.41%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -3.11%E -0.828%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 13:37
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 14:05
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 09:15
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -4.40%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 11:30
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Suprabets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -1.81%E -0.477%K -0.648%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.69%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -4.40%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:34
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.36%EV -13.99%E -6.42%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-09 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.18%E -7.06%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-09 09:14
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -19.12%E -9.33%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -17.32%E -5.41%K -7.87%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-09 14:25
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -14.96%E -6.11%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -17.15%E -8.17%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.32%E -5.41%K -7.87%G +0.000%19.7%2026-08-09 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.35%EV -16.70%E -6.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -17.15%E -8.17%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%17.9%2026-08-09 09:19
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-08-09 14:25