Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

1. FC Saarbrücken v Rot-Weiss Essen

Inizio: 2026-08-09 14:32 UTC

Finale: 1. FC Saarbrücken 5–2 Rot-Weiss Essen

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

43 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

1. FC Saarbrücken (Casa)

Previsione 34.71%2.88quota equa
EV -4.55%
Vantaggio -1.65%
Kelly -2.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.75%34.75%34.66%35.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.592.552.7541.67%38.60%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Rot-Weiss Essen (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.45%2.53quota equa
EV -2.55%
Vantaggio -1.03%
Kelly -1.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.47

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.92%39.54%39.55%41.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.292.302.4748.78%43.64%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.84%3.87quota equa
EV -1.81%
Vantaggio -0.477%
Kelly -0.648%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.71%25.71%25.79%26.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.523.503.8031.25%28.43%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: 1. FC Saarbrücken (Casa): 34.71%; Rot-Weiss Essen (Trasferta): 39.45%; Pareggio: 25.84%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.87. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 3.80, con un valore atteso del -1.81%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.75%EV -4.55%E -1.65%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -15.18%E -7.06%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.71%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.71%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 14:05
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:40
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.03%EV -5.59%E -2.06%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-09 13:40
Pinnacle🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.19%EV -5.94%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.61%EV -2.55%E -1.03%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.20%EV -5.95%E -1.63%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -1.81%E -0.477%K -0.648%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-09 14:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.96%EV -6.29%E -2.33%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.21%EV -10.05%E -4.41%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -8.27%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-09 13:40
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -3.11%E -0.828%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 14:15
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.02%E -3.03%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-09 13:37
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-09 14:05
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-09 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.75%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-09 09:15
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -4.40%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-09 11:30
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-09 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -9.76%E -3.75%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:45
Suprabets🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -10.86%E -3.15%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 14:04
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 13:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-09 14:00
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%EV -1.81%E -0.477%K -0.648%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-09 09:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -11.49%E -4.51%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.69%EV -13.21%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -4.40%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-09 14:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.15%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-02 19:34
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.36%EV -13.99%E -6.42%K -11.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -6.98%E -1.94%K -2.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-09 11:35
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -15.18%E -7.06%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-09 09:14
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.32%EV -13.23%E -5.29%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 40.64%EV -19.12%E -9.33%K -18.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.04%EV -17.32%E -5.41%K -7.87%G +0.000%20.0%2026-08-09 14:25
betano_uk🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.10%EV -14.96%E -6.11%K -10.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.79%EV -17.15%E -8.17%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.11%EV -17.32%E -5.41%K -7.87%G +0.000%19.7%2026-08-09 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.35%EV -16.70%E -6.96%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -17.15%E -8.17%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -9.56%E -2.73%K -3.83%G +0.000%17.9%2026-08-09 09:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-08-09 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 34.90%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.14%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.96%1.6%2026-08-09 14:25