Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.55
assuming max odds 2.73
assuming max odds 3.77
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 38.63%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visit): 35.58%; Draw: 25.79%. For VfL Osnabrück (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.59. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -1.50%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -1.50%E -0.588%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.53%EV -3.43%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.67%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -3.82%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.45%EV -2.86%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.67%EV -2.77%E -0.734%K -0.999%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.28%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.40%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.21%EV -6.42%E -2.44%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -3.28%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -4.20%E -1.70%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.82%EV -2.86%E -1.05%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -8.70%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.28%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.30%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -3.28%E -0.876%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.36%E -2.19%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.34%EV -6.14%E -2.52%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.58%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.08%EV -13.60%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.39%EV -6.06%E -2.30%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.67%EV -6.12%E -1.68%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.59%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -5.86%E -1.61%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.73%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.08%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.19%EV -8.44%E -2.38%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 10:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 10:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-15 10:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 10:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.60%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -7.29%E -3.04%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -13.60%E -4.06%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -8.07%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -8.07%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -6.78%E -2.59%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -4.57%E -1.24%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -8.07%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -8.07%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.07%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.30%EV -8.07%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.80%EV -11.76%E -4.74%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.89%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.30%EV -8.07%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.80%EV -11.76%E -4.74%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.89%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.30%EV -8.07%E -3.39%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.80%EV -11.76%E -4.74%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -14.89%E -4.51%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -9.23%E -3.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -5.71%E -2.15%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -9.23%E -3.93%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -9.27%E -3.63%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.15%E -1.99%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.03%EV -10.00%E -4.29%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.98%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.16%E -4.85%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -7.49%E -2.88%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.16%E -4.85%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.16%E -4.85%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.16%E -4.85%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.16%E -4.85%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 10:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.16%E -4.85%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.73%E -2.78%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.16%E -4.85%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.83%EV -12.32%E -5.43%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.25%EV -11.05%E -4.42%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -12.31%E -3.62%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-15 10:38 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.03% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.98% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.98% | -0.0% | 2026-08-15 10:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.87% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.29% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.77% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.77% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.77% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.77% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.78% | 0.8% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |