Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Osnabrück v 1. FC Magdeburg

2026-08-15 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Prediction 39.70%2.52fair odd
EV +1.22%
Edge +0.480%
Kelly +0.790%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.87%39.38%39.72%40.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.302.5545.45%43.14%43.48%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Magdeburg (Visit)

Prediction 34.35%2.91fair odd
EV -5.20%
Edge -1.88%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.28%34.74%34.31%38.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.632.632.7640.82%37.99%38.02%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.360%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.75%25.88%25.96%26.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.8030.30%28.42%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 39.70%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visit): 34.35%; Draw: 25.96%. For VfL Osnabrück (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.55, producing a positive expected value of +1.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV +1.22%E +0.480%K +0.790%G +0.010%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -15.85%E -6.47%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.37%E -0.360%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 07:25
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.67%E -0.711%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 11:35
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 11:35
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 11:33
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 11:35
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 11:26
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 13:00
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 14:35
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 11:34
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 11:35
Suprabets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.47%EV -9.89%E -4.36%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.28%EV -5.20%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 12:16
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 11:20
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-10 11:20
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-10 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.35%EV -13.57%E -4.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-10 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-10 14:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-10 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.65%E -6.82%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-10 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%5.0%2026-08-10 14:25
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 40.42%2.68I 37.31%NM 32.88%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%13.5%2026-08-10 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 33.07%2.12I 47.17%NM 37.12%2.64I 37.88%NM 29.81%27.1%2026-08-10 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 33.07%2.12I 47.17%NM 37.12%2.64I 37.88%NM 29.81%27.1%2026-08-10 14:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 22.89%2.12I 47.17%NM 25.70%1.06I 94.34%NM 51.40%83.5%2026-08-10 14:30