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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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VfL Osnabrück v 1. FC Magdeburg

2026-08-15 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

VfL Osnabrück (主队)

预测 39.70%2.52公平赔率
EV +1.22%
优势 +0.480%
Kelly +0.790%
增长率 +0.010%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
36.87%39.38%39.72%40.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.322.302.5545.45%43.15%43.48%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

1. FC Magdeburg (客队)

预测 34.35%2.91公平赔率
EV -5.20%
优势 -1.88%
Kelly -2.95%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.76

博彩公司预测分布
33.28%34.74%34.31%38.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.632.632.7640.82%37.96%38.02%36.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.96%3.85公平赔率
EV -1.37%
优势 -0.360%
Kelly -0.489%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.75%25.88%25.96%26.76%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.523.503.8030.30%28.42%28.57%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：VfL Osnabrück (主队)：39.70%；1. FC Magdeburg (客队)：34.35%；平局：25.96%。 对于“VfL Osnabrück (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.52。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.55，由此产生+1.22%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV +1.22%E +0.480%K +0.790%G +0.010%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -15.85%E -6.47%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.37%E -0.360%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 07:25
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.67%E -0.711%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 11:35
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 11:35
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 11:33
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 11:35
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 11:26
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 13:00
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 14:35
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 15:16
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 11:34
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 11:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-10 14:35
Suprabets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.47%EV -9.89%E -4.36%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.28%EV -5.20%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 12:16
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 11:20
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-10 11:20
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-10 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.35%EV -13.57%E -4.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-10 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-10 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-10 14:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-10 11:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 39.45%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%4.8%2026-08-10 15:20
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%5.0%2026-08-10 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.93%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%6.2%2026-08-10 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 38.74%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%6.7%2026-08-10 15:15
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 35.84%2.70I 37.04%NM 27.61%2.04I 49.02%NM 36.55%34.1%2026-08-10 15:15