Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Osnabrück v 1. FC Magdeburg

2026-08-15 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Frente a frente

32 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

VfL Osnabrück (Local)

Previsão 39.70%2.52odd justa
EV +1.22%
Vantagem +0.480%
Kelly +0.790%
Crescimento +0.010%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.87%39.38%39.72%40.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.322.302.5545.45%43.15%43.48%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

1. FC Magdeburg (Visitante)

Previsão 34.35%2.91odd justa
EV -5.20%
Vantagem -1.88%
Kelly -2.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.28%34.74%34.31%38.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.632.632.7640.82%37.96%38.02%36.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.96%3.85odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.360%
Kelly -0.489%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.75%25.88%25.96%26.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.523.503.8030.30%28.42%28.57%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: VfL Osnabrück (Local): 39.70%; 1. FC Magdeburg (Visitante): 34.35%; Empate: 25.96%. Para VfL Osnabrück (Local), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 2.52. 1 casa de apostas oferece odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 2.55, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +1.22%.

Odds das casas de apostas (32 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV +1.22%E +0.480%K +0.790%G +0.010%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -15.85%E -6.47%K -10.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.37%E -0.360%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 07:25
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -2.67%E -0.711%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 11:35
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.73%E -1.97%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-10 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -5.52%E -2.32%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.64%EV -6.32%E -2.68%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.01%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.35%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 11:20
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 11:35
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -3.96%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-10 11:33
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 11:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -8.98%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 11:35
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 14:35
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.29%EV -6.72%E -2.86%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.95%EV -6.57%E -2.42%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -10.45%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 14:35
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.54%E -2.02%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-10 11:26
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.08%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-10 13:00
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 14:35
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.26%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-10 15:16
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 11:34
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.56%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-10 11:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.70%E -3.78%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-10 14:35
Suprabets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.47%EV -9.89%E -4.36%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.28%EV -5.20%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-10 12:16
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.87%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.50%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -9.15%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 11:20
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-10 11:20
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.68%E -4.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.01%E -3.82%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-10 11:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.35%EV -13.57%E -4.07%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-10 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.84%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.38%EV -12.41%E -4.87%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -11.75%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-10 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-10 14:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -12.67%E -5.76%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.13%E -5.65%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -14.35%E -4.35%K -6.24%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-10 11:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.45%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.10%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.46%4.8%2026-08-10 15:20
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%5.0%2026-08-10 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.93%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%6.2%2026-08-10 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 38.74%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.47%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%6.7%2026-08-10 15:15
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 35.84%2.70I 37.04%NM 27.61%2.04I 49.02%NM 36.55%34.1%2026-08-10 15:15