The School of Odds

Karlsruher SC v Arminia Bielefeld

2026-08-08 11:30 — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Option 1: Karlsruher SC (Local)

Odds
2.1546.51%Min
2.2644.32%Mean
2.2544.44%Median
2.4041.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.97%2.633Min
41.49%2.410Max
40.46%2.471Mean
40.46%2.471Median
40.46%2.471IQM
40.43%2.474Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.40 under the IQM model: 40.46%

EV -2.89%Edge -1.20%Kelly -2.06%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Arminia Bielefeld (Visit)

Odds
2.3043.48%Min
2.7736.10%Mean
2.8035.71%Median
3.0033.33%Max
Consensus probabilities
29.73%3.363Min
36.55%2.736Max
32.93%3.037Mean
32.93%3.037Median
32.93%3.037IQM
32.92%3.037Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.00 under the IQM model: 32.93%

EV -1.20%Edge -0.401%Kelly -0.602%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.1032.26%Min
3.3030.30%Mean
3.3030.30%Median
3.6027.78%Max
Consensus probabilities
25.38%3.940Min
28.78%3.475Max
26.60%3.759Mean
26.60%3.759Median
26.60%3.759IQM
26.65%3.752Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.60 under the IQM model: 26.60%

EV -4.22%Edge -1.17%Kelly -1.62%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

BookmakerKarlsruher SC (Local) ▼Arminia Bielefeld (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67% NM 38.07%EV -2.89% E -1.20% K -2.06% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.55%EV -17.67% E -7.07% K -11.78% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.38%EV -4.22% E -1.17% K -1.62% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-08 12:00
SportsBet2.35I 42.55% NM 39.91%EV -4.91% E -2.09% K -3.64% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.91%EV -6.14% E -2.16% K -3.32% G +0.000%3.45I 28.99% NM 27.18%EV -8.21% E -2.38% K -3.35% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 11:55
FanDuel2.35I 42.55% NM 39.75%EV -4.91% E -2.09% K -3.64% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.78%EV -6.14% E -2.16% K -3.32% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.47%EV -9.54% E -2.81% K -3.98% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 13:54
1xBet2.32I 43.10% NM 39.45%EV -6.13% E -2.64% K -4.64% G +0.000%2.79I 35.84% NM 32.81%EV -8.12% E -2.91% K -4.54% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.74%EV -12.20% E -3.70% K -5.31% G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-08 15:14
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48% NM 39.47%EV -6.93% E -3.02% K -5.33% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.01%EV -9.44% E -3.43% K -5.39% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.51%EV -12.20% E -3.70% K -5.31% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-08 15:08
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44% NM 41.18%EV -8.96% E -3.98% K -7.17% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.09%EV -7.79% E -2.78% K -4.33% G +0.000%3.60I 27.78% NM 25.74%EV -4.22% E -1.17% K -1.62% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 11:59
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45% NM 39.27%EV -10.98% E -4.99% K -9.15% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 32.85%EV -13.39% E -5.09% K -8.21% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 27.87%EV -17.53% E -5.65% K -8.35% G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-08 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45% NM 37.97%EV -10.98% E -4.99% K -9.15% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 36.32%EV -24.26% E -10.55% K -18.66% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 25.70%EV -13.53% E -4.16% K -6.02% G +0.000%19.7%2026-07-08 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51% NM 41.49%EV -13.00% E -6.05% K -11.31% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.73%EV -1.20% E -0.401% K -0.602% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.78%EV -17.53% E -5.65% K -8.35% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-08 14:19
Neds2.15I 46.51% NM 41.49%EV -13.00% E -6.05% K -11.31% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.73%EV -1.20% E -0.401% K -0.602% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.78%EV -17.53% E -5.65% K -8.35% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-08 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51% NM 41.49%EV -13.00% E -6.05% K -11.31% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 29.73%EV -1.20% E -0.401% K -0.602% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.78%EV -17.53% E -5.65% K -8.35% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-08 16:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerKarlsruher SC (Local)Arminia Bielefeld (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45% NM 25.25%2.74I 36.50% NM 20.28%1.02I 98.04% NM 54.47%80.0%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45% NM 25.25%2.74I 36.50% NM 20.28%1.02I 98.04% NM 54.47%80.0%2026-07-08 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45% NM 25.25%2.74I 36.50% NM 20.28%1.02I 98.04% NM 54.47%80.0%2026-07-08 15:40