Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karlsruher SC v Arminia Bielefeld

2026-08-08 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prediction 40.93%2.44fair odd
EV -3.82%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.60%40.89%40.96%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.252.3548.78%44.82%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arminia Bielefeld (Visit)

Prediction 34.20%2.92fair odd
EV -4.25%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.01%34.19%34.25%35.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.8040.00%37.79%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.88%4.02fair odd
EV -0.493%
Edge -0.123%
Kelly -0.164%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.85%24.92%24.79%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.633.604.0030.77%27.52%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -9.38%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -2.98%E -0.764%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 09:30
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.05%EV -4.23%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.20%EV -6.30%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.75%EV -9.45%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-26 14:40
Marathon Bet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -6.64%E -2.43%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -9.45%E -2.60%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 14:35
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -0.493%E -0.123%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 23:59
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 41.47%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -0.493%E -0.123%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.47%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 22:45
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 40.17%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.86%EV -9.38%E -3.54%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.96%E -2.15%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 14:40
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.31%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -11.69%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-13 12:15
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.61%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.31%EV -4.93%E -1.77%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -11.69%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-13 12:14
Codere (IT)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.96%EV -7.10%E -3.13%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.21%EV -4.25%E -1.52%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 10:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -7.67%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.98%E -0.764%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 00:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -7.67%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -2.98%E -0.764%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-21 23:59
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -5.96%E -2.17%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -12.93%E -3.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.51%E -5.80%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 09:30
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.51%E -5.80%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.51%E -5.80%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 09:30
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.51%E -5.80%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.44%E -2.90%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-17 09:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.40%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.63%EV -10.06%E -3.83%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.47%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-21 23:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.35%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.72%EV -10.40%E -3.97%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -5.47%E -1.44%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 00:00
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -7.67%E -2.84%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.69%E -3.29%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-22 07:31
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.96%EV -12.01%E -5.59%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -11.09%E -4.26%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.93%E -3.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.5%2026-07-27 16:50
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -12.01%E -5.59%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -14.51%E -5.80%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -12.93%E -3.69%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-22 00:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.18%EV -14.06%E -6.69%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.01%EV -10.40%E -3.97%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.81%EV -16.66%E -4.97%K -7.09%G +0.000%15.6%2026-07-24 11:10
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.96%EV -14.06%E -6.69%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.73%EV -12.80%E -5.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.30%EV -15.42%E -4.53%K -6.42%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-27 16:50
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 40.57%EV -15.28%E -7.38%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.59%EV -14.51%E -5.80%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.84%EV -19.15%E -5.89%K -8.51%G +0.000%19.1%2026-07-28 05:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 41.07%EV -16.10%E -7.85%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.02%EV -12.80%E -5.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.91%EV -19.15%E -5.89%K -8.51%G +0.000%18.8%2026-07-13 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 40.42%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.21%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%16.7%2026-07-13 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.24I 80.65%NM 31.10%1.24I 80.65%NM 31.10%1.02I 98.04%NM 37.80%159.3%2026-07-24 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 31.10%1.24I 80.65%NM 31.10%1.02I 98.04%NM 37.80%159.3%2026-07-24 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 31.10%1.24I 80.65%NM 31.10%1.02I 98.04%NM 37.80%159.3%2026-07-24 13:25