Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karlsruher SC v Arminia Bielefeld

Início: 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Final: Karlsruher SC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Previsão 33.71%2.97odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -0.772%
Kelly -1.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
32.23%33.84%33.74%35.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.452.722.722.9040.82%36.82%36.76%34.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arminia Bielefeld (Visitante)

Previsão 40.72%2.46odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -0.949%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.73%40.74%40.72%42.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.282.282.4046.51%43.86%43.86%41.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.57%3.91odd justa
EV +2.28%
Vantagem +0.571%
Kelly +0.762%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.90%25.42%25.53%26.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.593.604.0030.30%27.89%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Karlsruher SC (Local): 33.71%; Arminia Bielefeld (Visitante): 40.72%; Empate: 25.57%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.91. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.28%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.31%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV +2.28%E +0.571%K +0.762%G +0.017%4.6%2026-08-08 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.272%E -0.070%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 10:54
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.53%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.69%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.78%EV -1.04%E -0.269%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 10:40
Suprabets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.78%EV -6.62%E -2.39%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -7.98%E -3.53%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.82%EV -3.60%E -0.954%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 10:37
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.14%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.58%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.14%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.58%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 10:35
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.92%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:45
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 10:45
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -2.24%E -0.772%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:53
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:44
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.92%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -7.63%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.37%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.67%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 10:45
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -2.24%E -0.772%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.10%EV -5.94%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.16%EV -7.18%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.31%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:40
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:24
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 10:35
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 10:54
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.91%EV -8.31%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 10:40
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.91%EV -8.31%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 10:43
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 10:40
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:53
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:40
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:55
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.46%E -5.79%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.46%E -5.79%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.23%EV -14.04%E -5.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.23%EV -14.04%E -5.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.46%E -5.79%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -14.04%E -5.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -14.04%E -5.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.45%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -12.46%E -5.79%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -12.46%E -5.79%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -14.34%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.01%EV -17.41%E -7.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -15.62%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-08 10:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-08-08 10:50
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-08-08 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-08-08 10:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.92%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%1.9%2026-08-08 10:45
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.05%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-08-08 10:55