Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karlsruher SC v Arminia Bielefeld

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC

Score final : Karlsruher SC 2–1 Arminia Bielefeld

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Karlsruher SC (Local)

Prévision 33.71%2.97cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -0.772%
Kelly -1.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.23%33.84%33.74%35.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.452.722.722.9040.82%36.82%36.76%34.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Arminia Bielefeld (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.72%2.46cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -0.949%
Kelly -1.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.73%40.74%40.72%42.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.282.282.4046.51%43.86%43.86%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.57%3.91cote équitable
EV +2.28%
Avantage +0.571%
Kelly +0.762%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.90%25.42%25.53%26.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.593.604.0030.30%27.89%27.78%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Karlsruher SC (Local) : 33.71% ; Arminia Bielefeld (Visiteur) : 40.72% ; Match nul : 25.57%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.91. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +2.28%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.69%EV -4.31%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV +2.28%E +0.571%K +0.762%G +0.017%4.6%2026-08-08 10:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.89%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.96%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -0.272%E -0.070%K -0.094%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 10:54
Pinnacle🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.53%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.69%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.78%EV -1.04%E -0.269%K -0.362%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 10:40
Suprabets🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 33.78%EV -6.62%E -2.39%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.40%EV -7.98%E -3.53%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.82%EV -3.60%E -0.954%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-08 10:37
BetOnline.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.14%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.58%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.86I 34.97%NM 33.14%EV -3.59%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.58%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-08 10:35
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -3.92%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.98%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.30%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 10:45
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 10:45
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -2.24%E -0.772%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:53
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:44
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:45
SportsBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -3.92%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.39%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 10:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.06%EV -7.63%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -5.90%E -1.60%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 10:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.37%EV -4.72%E -2.02%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.67%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 10:45
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.74%EV -2.24%E -0.772%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.10%EV -5.94%E -2.57%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.16%EV -7.18%E -1.98%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -4.31%E -1.84%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 10:40
BetMGM🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 10:35
Unibet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
Grosvenor🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
TABtouch🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
Casumo🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:25
betPARX🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -10.67%E -4.02%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -2.28%E -0.949%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 10:24
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -7.94%E -2.21%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 10:35
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.25%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-08 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.03%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.00%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-08 10:54
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.91%EV -8.31%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 10:40
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 33.91%EV -8.31%E -3.05%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -6.35%E -2.76%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 10:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 10:43
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -9.22%E -2.60%K -3.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-08 10:40
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.88%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 10:53
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:40
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:55
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -8.38%E -3.73%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-08 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.46%E -5.79%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -5.61%E -2.00%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -12.46%E -5.79%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -10.50%E -3.00%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-08 10:55
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.23%EV -14.04%E -5.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.23%EV -14.04%E -5.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.73%EV -5.53%E -2.39%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -11.78%E -3.41%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 10:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -8.98%E -3.33%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 10:35
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -12.46%E -5.79%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-08 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -14.04%E -5.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -14.04%E -5.50%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.99%EV -7.16%E -3.14%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 10:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.45%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.77%EV -12.46%E -5.79%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -13.06%E -3.84%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-08 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.50%EV -12.35%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.51%EV -12.46%E -5.79%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.00%EV -14.34%E -4.28%K -6.10%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-08 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.01%EV -17.41%E -7.11%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.99%EV -10.42%E -4.74%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.99%EV -15.62%E -4.73%K -6.79%G +0.000%16.6%2026-08-08 10:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-08-08 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-08-08 10:50
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 32.63%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-08-08 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.51%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.38%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-08-08 10:55
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 32.92%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.92%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%1.9%2026-08-08 10:45
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.05%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-08-08 10:55