StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Holstein Kiel v Hertha Berlin

2026-10-16 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Matchresultat

23 spelbolag (6 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Holstein Kiel (Hemma)

Prognos 37.66%2.66rättvist odds
EV +16.75%
Fördel +5.40%
Kelly +7.98%
Tillväxt +1.34%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.42%36.50%37.71%40.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.452.453.1046.51%40.88%40.82%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Hertha Berlin (Borta)

Prognos 37.61%2.66rättvist odds
EV -5.97%
Fördel -2.39%
Kelly -3.98%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.05%38.88%37.66%46.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.052.422.432.5048.78%41.39%41.15%40.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.73%4.04rättvist odds
EV -1.10%
Fördel -0.275%
Kelly -0.366%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.58%24.62%24.63%25.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.453.663.704.0028.99%27.32%27.03%25.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Holstein Kiel (Hemma): 37.66%; Hertha Berlin (Borta): 37.61%; Oavgjort: 24.73%. För Holstein Kiel (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.66. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.10, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +16.75%.

Spelbolagsodds (23 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +16.75%E +5.40%K +7.98%G +1.34%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -22.90%E -11.17%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.10%E -0.275%K -0.366%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.25%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.25%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.54%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.54%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.18%EV -10.36%E -4.35%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.18%EV -10.48%E -4.40%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -14.70%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.15%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.34%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -11.48%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.49%E -5.87%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -15.26%E -6.78%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -15.37%E -6.83%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.24%EV -19.03%E -8.85%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-10 16:35
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Arbitrage (146 kombinationer) +2.82%Tipico (DE) 3.10 (33.2%) / Unibet 2.50 (41.1%) / Tipico (DE) 4.00 (25.7%)Visa alla 146 kombinationer
Holstein Kiel (Hemma)Hertha Berlin (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Casumo🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.45 (41.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.96%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%)NordicBet🎯 2.45 (41.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.96%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%)Betsson🎯 2.45 (41.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.96%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%)TABtouch🎯 2.43 (41.8%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.62%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.43 (41.8%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.62%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%)BetRivers🎯 2.43 (41.8%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.62%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Casumo🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Casumo🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)LeoVegas🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)theScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (FR)🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 2.38 (42.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.2%)+0.730%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Grosvenor🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Casumo🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)betPARX🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)theScore Bet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Grosvenor🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Casumo🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%

Visar 50 av 146 kombinationer