مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

Holstein Kiel v Hertha Berlin

2026-10-16 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

نتيجة المباراة

23 شركة مراهنات (6 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Holstein Kiel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 37.66%2.66السعر العادل
EV +16.75%
الأفضلية +5.40%
Kelly +7.98%
النمو +1.34%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
30.42%36.50%37.71%40.24%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.152.452.453.1046.51%40.88%40.82%32.26%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Hertha Berlin (الضيف)

التنبؤ 37.61%2.66السعر العادل
EV -5.97%
الأفضلية -2.39%
Kelly -3.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
36.05%38.88%37.66%46.00%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.422.432.5048.78%41.39%41.15%40.00%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.73%4.04السعر العادل
EV -1.10%
الأفضلية -0.275%
Kelly -0.366%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.58%24.62%24.63%25.65%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
3.453.663.704.0028.99%27.32%27.03%25.00%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Holstein Kiel (المضيف)⁩: ⁨37.66%⁩؛ ⁨Hertha Berlin (الضيف)⁩: ⁨37.61%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨24.73%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨Holstein Kiel (المضيف)⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨2.66⁩. تعرض شركة مراهنات واحدة (1) سعرًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨3.10⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+16.75%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (23 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +16.75%E +5.40%K +7.98%G +1.34%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -22.90%E -11.17%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.10%E -0.275%K -0.366%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.25%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.25%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.54%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.54%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.18%EV -10.36%E -4.35%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.18%EV -10.48%E -4.40%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -14.70%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.15%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.34%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -11.48%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.49%E -5.87%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -15.26%E -6.78%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -15.37%E -6.83%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.24%EV -19.03%E -8.85%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-10 16:35
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

المراجحة (146 تركيبة) +2.82%Tipico (DE) 3.10 (33.2%) / Unibet 2.50 (41.1%) / Tipico (DE) 4.00 (25.7%)عرض التركيبات كلها وعددها 146
Holstein Kiel (المضيف)Hertha Berlin (الضيف)تعادلالهامش
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Casumo🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.45 (41.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.96%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%)NordicBet🎯 2.45 (41.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.96%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%)Betsson🎯 2.45 (41.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.96%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%)TABtouch🎯 2.43 (41.8%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.62%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.43 (41.8%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.62%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%)BetRivers🎯 2.43 (41.8%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.62%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Casumo🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Casumo🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)LeoVegas🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)theScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (FR)🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 2.38 (42.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.2%)+0.730%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Grosvenor🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Casumo🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)betPARX🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)theScore Bet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Grosvenor🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Casumo🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%

عرض 50 من أصل 146 تركيبة