Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Holstein Kiel v Hertha Berlin

2026-10-16 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Zwycięzca spotkania

23 bukmacherów (6 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Holstein Kiel (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 37.66%2.66kurs godziwy
EV +16.75%
Przewaga +5.40%
Kelly +7.98%
Wzrost +1.34%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.42%36.50%37.71%40.24%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.452.453.1046.51%40.88%40.82%32.26%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Hertha Berlin (Goście)

Prognoza 37.61%2.66kurs godziwy
EV -5.97%
Przewaga -2.39%
Kelly -3.98%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.05%38.88%37.66%46.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.052.422.432.5048.78%41.39%41.15%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.73%4.04kurs godziwy
EV -1.10%
Przewaga -0.275%
Kelly -0.366%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.00

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.58%24.62%24.63%25.65%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.453.663.704.0028.99%27.32%27.03%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Dla rynku Zwycięzca spotkania model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacuje prawdopodobieństwa następująco: Holstein Kiel (Gospodarze): 37.66%; Hertha Berlin (Goście): 37.61%; Remis: 24.73%. Dla wyniku Holstein Kiel (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiada uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.66. 1 bukmacher oferuje kurs powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy dostępny kurs wynosi 3.10, co daje dodatnią wartość oczekiwaną +16.75%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (23 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeRemisMarżaAktualizacja
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +16.75%E +5.40%K +7.98%G +1.34%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -22.90%E -11.17%K -21.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.10%E -0.275%K -0.366%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-10 14:10
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-10 14:00
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.25%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.25%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 19:35
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.54%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.54%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.18%EV -10.36%E -4.35%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.18%EV -10.48%E -4.40%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -14.70%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.15%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.34%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -11.48%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-10 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.49%E -5.87%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -15.26%E -6.78%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -15.37%E -6.83%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.24%EV -19.03%E -8.85%K -16.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-10 16:35
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Arbitraż (146 kombinacji) +2.82%Tipico (DE) 3.10 (33.2%) / Unibet 2.50 (41.1%) / Tipico (DE) 4.00 (25.7%)Pokaż wszystkie kombinacje (146)
Holstein Kiel (Gospodarze)Hertha Berlin (Goście)RemisMarża
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Casumo🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (41.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%)+2.82%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%)Unibet (UK)🎯 2.45 (41.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.96%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%)NordicBet🎯 2.45 (41.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.96%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%)Betsson🎯 2.45 (41.6%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%)+1.96%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%)TABtouch🎯 2.43 (41.8%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.62%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.43 (41.8%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.62%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%)BetRivers🎯 2.43 (41.8%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.62%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Casumo🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Casumo🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.4%)Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.4%)LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)LeoVegas🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)theScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%)Unibet (FR)🎯 2.40 (42.1%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%)+1.09%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 2.38 (42.3%)Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.2%)+0.730%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Grosvenor🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Casumo🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)betPARX🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%)theScore Bet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (NL)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Grosvenor🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Casumo🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%
Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%)Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%)+0.720%

Wyświetlono 50 z 146 kombinacji