Idioma:Español
Holstein Kiel v Hertha Berlin
Resultado del partido
Holstein Kiel (Local)
Predicción 37.66%2.66momio equitativo
EV +16.75%
Ventaja +5.40%
Kelly +7.98%
Crecimiento +1.34%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.42%36.50%37.71%40.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.452.453.1046.51%40.88%40.82%32.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Hertha Berlin (Visitante)
Predicción 37.61%2.66momio equitativo
EV -5.97%
Ventaja -2.39%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.05%38.88%37.66%46.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.422.432.5048.78%41.39%41.15%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 24.73%4.04momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.275%
Kelly -0.366%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.58%24.62%24.63%25.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.453.663.704.0028.99%27.32%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Holstein Kiel (Local): 37.66%; Hertha Berlin (Visitante): 37.61%; Empate: 24.73%. Para Holstein Kiel (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.66. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +16.75%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (23 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV +16.75%E +5.40%K +7.98%G +1.34% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -22.90%E -11.17%K -21.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.10%E -0.275%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 14:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.84%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.97%E -2.39%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.69%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.73%E -3.15%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -7.85%E -3.20%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.25%EV -8.48%E -3.49%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.25%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.50%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.28%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 19:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.52%E -2.30%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.54%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.54%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.60%E -3.54%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.22%E -3.44%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.61%E -4.00%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.23%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.46%E -3.85%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.18%EV -10.36%E -4.35%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.18%EV -10.48%E -4.40%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.65%EV -14.70%E -4.26%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.15%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.34%EV -11.61%E -4.94%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%EV -11.48%E -3.21%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.02%EV -13.49%E -5.87%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.96%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -15.26%E -6.78%K -12.21%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.10%EV -15.37%E -6.83%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -10.99%E -3.05%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.24%EV -19.03%E -8.85%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.05%EV -9.73%E -4.05%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.71%EV -9.75%E -2.67%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-10-10 16:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Arbitraje (146 combinaciones) +2.82%Tipico (DE) 3.10 (33.2%) / Unibet 2.50 (41.1%) / Tipico (DE) 4.00 (25.7%)Ver las 146 combinaciones
| Holstein Kiel (Local) | Hertha Berlin (Visitante) | Empate | Margen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (41.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%) | +2.82% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (41.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%) | +2.82% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%) | Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (41.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%) | +2.82% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%) | Casumo🎯 2.50 (41.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%) | +2.82% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (41.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%) | +2.82% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%) | ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (41.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%) | +2.82% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%) | Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (41.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%) | +2.82% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (33.2%) | betPARX🎯 2.50 (41.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.7%) | +2.82% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 2.45 (41.6%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%) | +1.96% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%) | NordicBet🎯 2.45 (41.6%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%) | +1.96% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.9%) | Betsson🎯 2.45 (41.6%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.5%) | +1.96% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%) | TABtouch🎯 2.43 (41.8%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%) | +1.62% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%) | LeoVegas (SE)🎯 2.43 (41.8%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%) | +1.62% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.8%) | BetRivers🎯 2.43 (41.8%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.4%) | +1.62% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Grosvenor🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Casumo🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Casumo🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | ATG (SE)🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Svenska Spel🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | Unibet (UK)🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | betPARX🎯 2.50 (40.4%) | LeoVegas🎯 3.75 (27.0%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | LeoVegas🎯 2.40 (42.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | theScore Bet🎯 2.40 (42.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Virgin Bet🎯 2.40 (42.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.6%) | Unibet (FR)🎯 2.40 (42.1%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.3%) | +1.09% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | LiveScore Bet🎯 2.38 (42.3%) | Tipico (DE)🎯 4.00 (25.2%) | +0.730% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Unibet🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Grosvenor🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Casumo🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | ATG (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Svenska Spel🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | betPARX🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | theScore Bet🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Unibet🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Grosvenor🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Casumo🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | Unibet (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 3.10 (32.5%) | Unibet (NL)🎯 2.50 (40.3%) | ATG (SE)🎯 3.70 (27.2%) | +0.720% |
Mostrando 50 de 146 combinaciones