默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Holstein Kiel v Elversberg

开赛时间: 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Holstein Kiel (主队)

预测 28.18%3.55公平赔率
EV +1.72%
优势 +0.476%
Kelly +0.659%
增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 3.61

博彩公司预测分布
26.82%28.22%28.18%30.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.223.203.6133.90%31.06%31.25%27.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

Elversberg (客队)

预测 45.37%2.20公平赔率
EV -2.45%
优势 -1.14%
Kelly -2.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
42.90%45.33%45.36%47.01%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.802.042.052.1555.56%48.98%48.78%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.45%3.78公平赔率
EV -2.13%
优势 -0.575%
Kelly -0.788%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布
25.65%26.45%26.46%27.60%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.493.503.7032.26%28.67%28.57%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Holstein Kiel (主队):28.18%;Elversberg (客队):45.37%;平局:26.45%。 对于“Holstein Kiel (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.55。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.61,对应+1.72%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV +1.72%E +0.476%K +0.659%G +0.011%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.01%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 11:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -1.38%E -0.394%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -1.38%E -0.394%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Coolbet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:40
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:40
DraftKings🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:40
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:04
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:06
Bovada🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.61%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:36
1xBet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -6.45%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.03%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.45%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.27%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Suprabets🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -6.73%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:37
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 11:40
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 11:03
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 11:40
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
William Hill🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 11:05
theScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:40
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.91%EV -11.98%E -6.18%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 28.63%EV -12.09%E -3.87%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.11%EV -10.17%E -5.13%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 19:39
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:39
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.34%E -6.99%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.00%E -5.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-28 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 19:40
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 19:40
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 19:39
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 27.30%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.26%EV -18.33%E -10.18%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.44%EV -16.68%E -5.29%K -7.76%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-28 11:05
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:15
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -11.07%E -5.65%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 11:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.81%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.01%EV -12.89%E -6.71%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-28 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -16.88%E -5.72%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -16.88%E -5.72%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 19:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-02-28 11:40
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%1.9%2026-02-28 11:40