مدرسة الاحتمالات

Holstein Kiel v Elversberg

البداية: 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Holstein Kiel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.18%3.55السعر العادل
EV +1.72%
الأفضلية +0.476%
Kelly +0.659%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.82%28.22%28.18%30.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.223.203.6133.90%31.06%31.25%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Elversberg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.37%2.20السعر العادل
EV -2.45%
الأفضلية -1.14%
Kelly -2.13%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.15

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.90%45.33%45.36%47.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.802.042.052.1555.56%48.98%48.78%46.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.45%3.78السعر العادل
EV -2.13%
الأفضلية -0.575%
Kelly -0.788%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.65%26.45%26.46%27.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.493.503.7032.26%28.67%28.57%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV +1.72%E +0.476%K +0.659%G +0.011%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.01%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 11:40
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -1.38%E -0.394%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 11:40
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -1.38%E -0.394%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 10:39
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:40
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:40
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:40
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:04
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:06
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.61%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:36
1xBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -6.45%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.03%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Marathon Bet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.45%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.27%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Suprabets3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -6.73%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:37
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 11:40
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 11:03
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 11:40
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:35
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 11:05
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:40
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.91%EV -11.98%E -6.18%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.63%EV -12.09%E -3.87%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.11%EV -10.17%E -5.13%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 11:39
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 19:40
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 19:39
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:39
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.34%E -6.99%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.00%E -5.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-28 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 19:40
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 19:40
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 19:39
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 27.30%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.26%EV -18.33%E -10.18%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.44%EV -16.68%E -5.29%K -7.76%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-28 11:05
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:15
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -11.07%E -5.65%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 11:40
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.81%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.01%EV -12.89%E -6.71%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-28 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -16.88%E -5.72%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 19:40
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -16.88%E -5.72%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 19:40
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-02-28 11:40
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%1.9%2026-02-28 11:40