L’École des cotes

Holstein Kiel v Elversberg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Holstein Kiel (Local)

Prévision 28.18%3.55cote équitable
EV +1.72%
Avantage +0.476%
Kelly +0.659%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.82%28.22%28.18%30.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.223.203.6133.90%31.06%31.25%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elversberg (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.37%2.20cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.90%45.33%45.36%47.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.042.052.1555.56%48.98%48.78%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.45%3.78cote équitable
EV -2.13%
Avantage -0.575%
Kelly -0.788%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.65%26.45%26.46%27.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.7032.26%28.67%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV +1.72%E +0.476%K +0.659%G +0.011%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.01%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.17%EV -2.13%E -0.575%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 11:40
BetOnline.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -1.38%E -0.394%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 11:40
LowVig.ag3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -1.38%E -0.394%K -0.552%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.51%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.06%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.43%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.50%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.09%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.91%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 10:39
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:40
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 11:40
DraftKings3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:40
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:04
SportsBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.20%E -1.23%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 11:06
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -5.61%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:36
1xBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.21%EV -6.45%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.03%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 11:40
Marathon Bet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.45%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.27%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Suprabets3.31I 30.21%NM 28.26%EV -6.73%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.40%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:37
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 05:59
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 11:40
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 11:03
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 11:40
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -7.02%E -2.13%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:35
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 11:40
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.42%E -2.59%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-28 11:05
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:40
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 11:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -9.83%E -3.07%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 11:40
Winamax (DE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.31%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Parions Sport (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -11.24%E -3.57%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.91%EV -11.98%E -6.18%K -12.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 11:40
Betclic (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 28.63%EV -12.09%E -3.87%K -5.70%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.11%EV -10.17%E -5.13%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 11:39
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 19:40
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 19:39
Unibet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Unibet (NL)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:39
Casumo3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Grosvenor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.77%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-22 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.65%E -4.08%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -13.34%E -6.99%K -14.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -18.00%E -5.81%K -8.57%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-28 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 19:40
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 19:40
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.09%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -6.09%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-22 19:39
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 27.30%EV -14.06%E -4.61%K -6.86%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.26%EV -18.33%E -10.18%K -22.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.44%EV -16.68%E -5.29%K -7.76%G +0.000%20.1%2026-02-28 11:05
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.42%E -2.12%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-24 21:15
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.30%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -11.07%E -5.65%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -10.06%E -2.96%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-28 11:40
NetBet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.81%EV -15.47%E -5.16%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.01%EV -12.89%E -6.71%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.19%EV -12.71%E -3.85%K -5.52%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-28 11:40
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -16.88%E -5.72%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 19:40
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.03%EV -16.88%E -5.72%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.29%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.68%EV -8.74%E -2.53%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-22 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Matchbook3.50I 28.57%NM 28.26%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.37%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-02-28 11:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.26%1.5%2026-02-28 11:40
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.43%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.41%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.16%1.9%2026-02-28 11:40