默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Nürnberg

2026-09-05 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

胜负盘

51 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Holstein Kiel (主队)

预测 39.34%2.54公平赔率
EV +0.321%
优势 +0.126%
Kelly +0.207%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
36.77%39.22%39.35%40.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.382.382.5545.45%42.10%42.02%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

1. FC Nürnberg (客队)

预测 34.17%2.93公平赔率
EV -2.60%
优势 -0.914%
Kelly -1.41%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.85

博彩公司预测分布
32.99%34.38%34.08%36.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.452.642.632.8540.82%37.88%38.02%35.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 26.48%3.78公平赔率
EV +0.642%
优势 +0.169%
Kelly +0.229%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.75%26.40%26.57%28.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.203.453.453.8031.25%29.00%28.99%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Holstein Kiel (主队):39.34%;1. FC Nürnberg (客队):34.17%;平局:26.48%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.78。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为3.80,由此产生+0.642%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.642%E +0.169%K +0.229%G +0.001%6.3%2026-08-31 08:29
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -0.682%E -0.182%K -0.248%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-31 08:55
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.01%E -0.542%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 09:50
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.01%E -0.542%K -0.743%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 09:50
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 09:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -2.60%E -0.914%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 09:03
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 09:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 09:30
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 09:30
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 11:05
Pinnacle🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.75%EV -3.22%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.54%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:15
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:15
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:14
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:15
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-31 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -4.31%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-31 11:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -6.76%E -2.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.31%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 11:05
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 12:43
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 12:45
1xBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.19%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.19%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 12:30
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 08:25
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 08:24
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 11:10
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-31 09:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 09:30
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-31 09:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-31 09:00
Suprabets🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.71%EV -6.76%E -2.85%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.23%EV -8.41%E -3.14%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.06%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 12:31
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 11:50
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-31 11:15
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-31 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-31 08:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -16.27%E -6.64%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -16.27%E -6.64%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -16.27%E -6.64%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 11:15
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-31 09:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.36%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.75%EV -13.13%E -4.00%K -5.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 08:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 10:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 10:40
888sport🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 10:40
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-31 10:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 08:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.10%EV -12.66%E -5.70%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 33.77%EV -12.17%E -4.74%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -15.25%E -4.77%K -6.93%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-31 12:03
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%5.0%2026-08-31 12:30
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 39.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.60%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31%16.3%2026-08-31 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 32.54%1.18I 84.75%NM 32.54%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.91%160.4%2026-08-31 13:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 32.54%1.18I 84.75%NM 32.54%1.10I 90.91%NM 34.91%160.4%2026-08-31 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 32.12%1.18I 84.75%NM 32.12%1.06I 94.34%NM 35.76%163.8%2026-08-31 13:05