Idioma:Español
Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Nürnberg
Resultado del partido
Holstein Kiel (Local)
Predicción 39.34%2.54momio equitativo
EV +0.321%
Ventaja +0.126%
Kelly +0.207%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.77%39.22%39.35%40.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.382.382.5545.45%42.10%42.02%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
1. FC Nürnberg (Visitante)
Predicción 34.17%2.93momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -0.914%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.99%34.38%34.08%36.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.642.632.8540.82%37.88%38.02%35.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.48%3.78momio equitativo
EV +0.642%
Ventaja +0.169%
Kelly +0.229%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.75%26.40%26.57%28.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.453.453.8031.25%29.00%28.99%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Holstein Kiel (Local): 39.34%; 1. FC Nürnberg (Visitante): 34.17%; Empate: 26.48%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.78. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.642%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +0.642%E +0.169%K +0.229%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 08:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -0.682%E -0.182%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-31 08:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.01%E -0.542%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 09:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -2.01%E -0.542%K -0.743%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 09:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -2.60%E -0.914%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 09:03 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.66%E -1.29%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.75%EV -3.22%E -1.31%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.54%EV -5.68%E -2.06%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.70%EV -5.45%E -1.53%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-31 12:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -5.98%E -1.68%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-31 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 11:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV +0.321%E +0.126%K +0.207%G +0.001% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -4.31%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-31 11:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -6.76%E -2.85%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.31%E -1.54%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 12:43 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -6.37%E -2.68%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.30%E -2.09%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 12:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.19%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 12:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.69%EV -5.19%E -2.15%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -7.05%E -2.59%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -8.63%E -2.50%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 08:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.59%EV -8.73%E -3.76%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-31 08:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.51%E -4.14%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.99%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 09:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -10.46%E -3.99%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-31 09:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.48%E -5.10%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -11.15%E -4.29%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -9.95%E -2.93%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-31 09:00 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.71%EV -6.76%E -2.85%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.23%EV -8.41%E -3.14%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.06%EV -10.22%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-31 12:31 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -7.55%E -3.21%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -7.73%E -2.86%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-31 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.77%EV -3.61%E -1.47%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -15.25%E -6.15%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.69%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.24%EV -12.86%E -5.04%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -11.28%E -3.37%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-31 08:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -16.27%E -6.64%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -16.27%E -6.64%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -16.27%E -6.64%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-31 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.55%EV -14.57%E -5.83%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.18%EV -12.60%E -3.82%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-31 09:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.88%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.36%EV -10.12%E -3.85%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.75%EV -13.13%E -4.00%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-31 08:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -6.02%E -2.19%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 10:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -13.45%E -6.11%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -9.44%E -3.56%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -13.92%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-31 08:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.10%EV -12.66%E -5.70%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 33.77%EV -12.17%E -4.74%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.13%EV -15.25%E -4.77%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-31 12:03 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.04% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.27% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69% | 5.0% | 2026-08-31 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 33.60% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.31% | 16.3% | 2026-08-31 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 32.54% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 32.54% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.91% | 160.4% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 32.54% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 32.54% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 34.91% | 160.4% | 2026-08-31 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 32.12% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 32.12% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 35.76% | 163.8% | 2026-08-31 13:05 |