StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Nürnberg

Matchstart: 2026-09-05 11:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Holstein Kiel 2–2 1. FC Nürnberg

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Holstein Kiel (Hemma)

Prognos 39.77%2.51rättvist odds
EV -3.37%
Fördel -1.39%
Kelly -2.36%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.43

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
38.89%39.84%39.81%41.21%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.202.312.302.4345.45%43.22%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Nürnberg (Borta)

Prognos 33.88%2.95rättvist odds
EV -0.048%
Fördel -0.016%
Kelly -0.025%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.27%33.89%33.79%35.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.552.722.752.9539.22%36.71%36.43%33.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 26.35%3.79rättvist odds
EV -1.18%
Fördel -0.315%
Kelly -0.429%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.75

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.39%26.27%26.40%27.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.503.503.7530.77%28.57%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Holstein Kiel (Hemma): 39.77%; 1. FC Nürnberg (Borta): 33.88%; Oavgjort: 26.35%. För 1. FC Nürnberg (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.951. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.950, med väntevärdet -0.048%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.62%EV -3.37%E -1.39%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.14%EV -4.45%E -1.58%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.23%EV -3.29%E -0.896%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:40
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.73%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.47%EV -1.18%E -0.315%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 00:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -2.50%E -0.675%K -0.925%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:25
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.56%E -1.90%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 09:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.68%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.72%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 00:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.53%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 01:14
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 01:14
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 01:15
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 01:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 01:15
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 01:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.13%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.44%EV -6.45%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 01:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 11:30
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.08%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.24%EV -5.36%E -2.25%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.08%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.68%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 12:40
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.13%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.68%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.03%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.20%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -3.82%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 00:05
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 09:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -10.21%E -3.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 04:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -6.55%E -2.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -10.21%E -3.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 04:40
Suprabets🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.64%EV -6.95%E -2.97%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.85%EV -7.16%E -2.61%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 12:33
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.74%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -7.84%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 00:05
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -7.74%E -3.34%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.64%EV -7.84%E -2.88%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-03 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.21%EV -8.14%E -3.52%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -0.048%E -0.016%K -0.025%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.52%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 00:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.21%EV -8.14%E -3.52%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.27%EV -0.048%E -0.016%K -0.025%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.52%EV -5.40%E -1.50%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 00:10
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.50%E -0.675%K -0.925%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 12:50
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.09%E -2.63%K -3.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 13:20
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 00:05
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 08:49
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:38
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 12:38
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -11.23%E -4.29%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -5.13%E -1.43%K -1.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-03 00:04
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 09:05
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.21%E -3.85%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 01:14
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 01:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 01:14
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -8.54%E -3.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.01%EV -10.89%E -4.14%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.04%E -3.95%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 09:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -9.33%E -4.09%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 11:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 10:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 10:25
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 10:25
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.13%E -1.83%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 10:24
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.42%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -11.72%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 01:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.42%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -11.72%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 01:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.42%EV -10.53%E -4.68%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.47%EV -11.72%E -3.50%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 01:14
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 39.16%EV -11.72%E -5.28%K -9.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.09%EV -13.60%E -5.33%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -14.36%E -4.42%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.0%2026-09-04 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -12.51%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -6.82%E -2.48%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -9.09%E -2.63%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 11:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.51%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 08:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.51%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 08:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.51%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 08:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.93%EV -12.51%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.35%EV -8.52%E -3.16%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -7.77%E -2.22%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-04 08:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -12.51%E -5.69%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.94%EV -11.91%E -4.58%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -10.40%E -3.06%K -4.33%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-03 00:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.64%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.64%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-04 13:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.64%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-04 13:30
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.64%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Matchbook◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.64%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.09%0.9%2026-09-04 13:40
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.0%2026-09-04 13:10