Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.38
assuming max odds 3.20
assuming max odds 3.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Holstein Kiel (Local): 41.62%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 32.25%; Draw: 26.14%. For 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.10. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.19%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.78%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV +3.19%E +0.997%K +1.45%G +0.046% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.78%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV +3.19%E +0.997%K +1.45%G +0.046% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.44%E -6.46%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -0.033%E -0.011%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.66%EV -0.955%E -0.401%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -2.94%E -0.975%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -6.95%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-17 16:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -15.94%E -7.89%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -15.94%E -7.89%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-10 16:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.55%EV -18.02%E -9.15%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-17 15:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.77%EV -5.95%E -2.63%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.87%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.87%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:23 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.12%EV -1.79%E -0.757%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.43%EV -5.84%E -2.00%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.12%EV -1.79%E -0.757%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.43%EV -5.84%E -2.00%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -1.99%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.45%EV -2.51%E -0.672%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 16:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 16:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 16:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 16:06 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 16:03 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -7.45%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 16:23 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 16:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.10%EV -11.78%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 26.02%EV -10.35%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 16:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 16:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 16:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 16:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 16:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -12.93%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 41.94%EV -13.86%E -6.69%K -12.95%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.15%EV -12.93%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.91%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -15.19%E -5.78%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.97%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 17.9% | 2026-04-17 16:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.2% | 2026-04-17 16:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.22% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60% | 0.2% | 2026-04-17 16:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 16:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 16:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63% | 1.5% | 2026-04-17 16:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.32% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.71% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 16:20 |