La scuola delle quote

Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Inizio: 2026-04-17 16:30 UTC

Finale: Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Holstein Kiel (Casa)

Previsione 41.62%2.40quota equa
EV -0.955%
Vantaggio -0.401%
Kelly -0.692%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.38

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.10%41.63%41.67%44.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.972.192.202.3850.76%45.72%45.45%42.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.25%3.10quota equa
EV +3.19%
Vantaggio +0.997%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.046%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.25%32.15%32.27%33.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.922.893.2038.02%34.28%34.60%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 26.14%3.83quota equa
EV -1.99%
Vantaggio -0.529%
Kelly -0.722%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.24%26.22%26.06%27.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.503.553.7532.26%28.55%28.17%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.78%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV +3.19%E +0.997%K +1.45%G +0.046%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:39
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.78%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV +3.19%E +0.997%K +1.45%G +0.046%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 15:39
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.44%E -6.46%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -0.033%E -0.011%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:50
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.66%EV -0.955%E -0.401%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -2.94%E -0.975%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -6.95%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-17 16:24
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 16:19
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -15.94%E -7.89%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-10 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -15.94%E -7.89%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-10 16:50
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.55%EV -18.02%E -9.15%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 15:40
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.77%EV -5.95%E -2.63%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.87%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 16:09
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.87%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:23
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.12%EV -1.79%E -0.757%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.43%EV -5.84%E -2.00%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:19
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.12%EV -1.79%E -0.757%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.43%EV -5.84%E -2.00%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:19
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -1.99%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 16:19
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.45%EV -2.51%E -0.672%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 16:24
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 16:19
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:04
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:15
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 16:24
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 16:05
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 16:04
Suprabets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:06
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:03
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:09
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:04
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -7.45%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:09
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 16:19
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 16:19
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 16:19
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:23
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:09
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:19
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 16:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 16:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 16:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 16:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 16:09
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.10%EV -11.78%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.02%EV -10.35%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 16:09
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 16:14
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 16:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 16:05
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 16:05
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -12.93%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-17 16:09
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.94%EV -13.86%E -6.69%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.15%EV -12.93%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.91%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -15.19%E -5.78%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.97%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-17 16:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60%0.2%2026-04-17 16:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60%0.2%2026-04-17 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-17 16:24
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-17 16:24
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-04-17 16:24
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.32%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-04-17 16:20