مدرسة الاحتمالات

Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

البداية: 2026-04-17 16:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Holstein Kiel 3–0 1. FC Kaiserslautern

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Holstein Kiel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.62%2.40السعر العادل
EV -0.955%
الأفضلية -0.401%
Kelly -0.692%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
40.10%41.63%41.67%44.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.972.192.202.3850.76%45.72%45.45%42.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

1. FC Kaiserslautern (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.25%3.10السعر العادل
EV +3.19%
الأفضلية +0.997%
Kelly +1.45%
النمو +0.046%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.25%32.15%32.27%33.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.632.922.893.2038.02%34.28%34.60%31.25%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.14%3.83السعر العادل
EV -1.99%
الأفضلية -0.529%
Kelly -0.722%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.24%26.22%26.06%27.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.503.553.7532.26%28.55%28.17%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.78%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV +3.19%E +0.997%K +1.45%G +0.046%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:39
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.42%EV -11.78%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV +3.19%E +0.997%K +1.45%G +0.046%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:39
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 15:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 15:39
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV +1.58%E +0.501%K +0.734%G +0.012%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:50
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -13.44%E -6.46%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -0.033%E -0.011%K -0.016%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:50
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.66%EV -0.955%E -0.401%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -2.94%E -0.975%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -6.95%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-17 16:24
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 16:19
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -15.94%E -7.89%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-10 16:50
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.10%EV -15.94%E -7.89%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.70%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-10 16:50
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.55%EV -18.02%E -9.15%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.25%EV -3.26%E -1.09%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-17 15:40
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 41.77%EV -5.95%E -2.63%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.87%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 16:09
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.87%E -1.65%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:23
LowVig.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.12%EV -1.79%E -0.757%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.43%EV -5.84%E -2.00%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:19
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 40.12%EV -1.79%E -0.757%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.43%EV -5.84%E -2.00%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 16:19
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.56%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.96%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.49%EV -1.99%E -0.529%K -0.722%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 16:19
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.45%EV -2.51%E -0.672%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 16:24
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.49%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.54%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 16:19
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:04
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 16:15
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 16:24
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.48%E -2.24%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 16:05
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.70%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.29%E -0.890%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 16:04
Suprabets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -5.53%E -2.44%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 16:06
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.23%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 16:03
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:09
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -7.61%E -3.43%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.17%EV -7.13%E -2.47%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.10%EV -7.21%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:04
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.21%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.30%EV -7.45%E -2.60%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -8.52%E -2.43%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:09
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 16:19
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 16:19
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -4.28%E -1.86%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -8.10%E -2.84%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 16:19
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 16:23
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -4.60%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 16:09
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 16:19
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 16:19
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 16:19
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 16:20
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -6.37%E -2.83%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 16:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-17 16:09
Betclic (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 42.10%EV -11.78%E -5.55%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.02%EV -10.35%E -3.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 16:09
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.40%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.80%EV -9.71%E -3.47%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 16:14
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -8.45%E -3.84%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -13.75%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-17 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 16:04
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 16:05
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -10.53%E -4.90%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.32%E -4.12%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -11.13%E -3.27%K -4.64%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 16:05
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.59%EV -12.93%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-17 16:09
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 41.94%EV -13.86%E -6.69%K -12.95%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.15%EV -12.93%E -4.79%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.91%EV -12.44%E -3.71%K -5.29%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-17 16:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.39%EV -12.61%E -6.00%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.25%EV -15.19%E -5.78%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.36%EV -18.97%E -6.12%K -9.04%G +0.000%17.9%2026-04-17 16:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60%0.2%2026-04-17 16:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.60%0.2%2026-04-17 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-17 16:24
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-04-17 16:24
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.06%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.31%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.63%1.5%2026-04-17 16:24
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 42.32%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.71%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%4.1%2026-04-17 16:20