Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.05
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hertha Berlin (Local): 47.33%; Holstein Kiel (Visit): 27.77%; Draw: 24.90%. For Holstein Kiel (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.60. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.75%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV +2.75%E +0.743%K +1.02%G +0.028% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-20 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -9.13%E -4.75%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV +1.36%E +0.373%K +0.514%G +0.007% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -9.13%E -4.75%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV +1.36%E +0.373%K +0.514%G +0.007% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -1.42%E -0.399%K -0.555%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.84%EV -13.86%E -7.62%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.84%EV -13.86%E -7.62%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -0.396%E -0.099%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 03:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 18:58 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -6.76%E -3.43%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.91%EV -6.37%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-24 03:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -6.37%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 18:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -14.81%E -8.23%K -18.51%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-18 11:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.35%EV -6.69%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.20%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -6.76%E -3.43%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.58%E -3.29%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -10.85%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 18:43 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-24 03:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.50%EV -11.97%E -6.43%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-24 03:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.44%E -6.73%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.49%EV -13.39%E -7.32%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -13.39%E -7.32%K -16.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -19.07%E -5.87%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-23 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.75%EV -12.91%E -7.02%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-23 18:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.24% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-23 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 01:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65% | 5.4% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |