مدرسة الاحتمالات

Hertha Berlin v Holstein Kiel

البداية: 2026-04-25 11:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Hertha Berlin (المضيف)

التنبؤ 47.33%2.11السعر العادل
EV -2.98%
الأفضلية -1.45%
Kelly -2.83%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.05

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.41%47.49%47.29%49.66%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.931.922.0555.56%51.94%52.08%48.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Holstein Kiel (الضيف)

التنبؤ 27.77%3.60السعر العادل
EV +2.75%
الأفضلية +0.743%
Kelly +1.02%
النمو +0.028%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.50%27.60%27.82%29.12%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.373.353.7033.33%29.70%29.85%27.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.90%4.02السعر العادل
EV -0.396%
الأفضلية -0.099%
Kelly -0.132%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.62%24.91%24.89%26.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.673.704.0030.77%27.27%27.03%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV +2.75%E +0.743%K +1.02%G +0.028%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 16:40
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -9.13%E -4.75%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV +1.36%E +0.373%K +0.514%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -9.13%E -4.75%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV +1.36%E +0.373%K +0.514%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:05
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 11:05
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 11:05
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -1.42%E -0.399%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:30
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 48.84%EV -13.86%E -7.62%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 11:05
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 48.84%EV -13.86%E -7.62%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 11:05
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -0.396%E -0.099%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:00
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 18:40
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:49
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:58
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -6.76%E -3.43%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.91%EV -6.37%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:00
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -6.37%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:20
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -14.81%E -8.23%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 11:05
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.35%EV -6.69%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.20%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:39
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 01:50
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 01:50
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:59
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 19:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.995%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:38
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:39
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:00
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:59
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:39
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:40
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:39
Suprabets1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -6.76%E -3.43%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:35
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.58%E -3.29%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -10.85%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 18:43
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.50%EV -11.97%E -6.43%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 18:39
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:34
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.44%E -6.73%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.49%EV -13.39%E -7.32%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -13.39%E -7.32%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -19.07%E -5.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-23 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.75%EV -12.91%E -7.02%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 18:39
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%2.8%2026-04-24 00:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-04-24 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-04-23 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-04-24 01:30
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-04-24 01:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%5.4%2026-04-24 03:40