L’École des cotes

Hertha Berlin v Holstein Kiel

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hertha Berlin (Local)

Prévision 47.33%2.11cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.41%47.49%47.29%49.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.931.922.0555.56%51.94%52.08%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Holstein Kiel (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.77%3.60cote équitable
EV +2.75%
Avantage +0.743%
Kelly +1.02%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.50%27.60%27.82%29.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.353.7033.33%29.70%29.85%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.90%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.396%
Avantage -0.099%
Kelly -0.132%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.62%24.91%24.89%26.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.673.704.0030.77%27.27%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.66%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%EV +2.75%E +0.743%K +1.02%G +0.028%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.83%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-20 16:40
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -9.13%E -4.75%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV +1.36%E +0.373%K +0.514%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:05
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.90%EV -9.13%E -4.75%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.72%EV +1.36%E +0.373%K +0.514%G +0.007%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 11:05
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 11:05
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 49.08%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -0.028%E -0.008%K -0.011%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-18 11:05
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -11.02%E -5.86%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -1.42%E -0.399%K -0.555%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -2.80%E -0.801%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 18:30
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 48.84%EV -13.86%E -7.62%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 11:05
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 48.84%EV -13.86%E -7.62%K -16.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.40%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-18 11:05
Coolbet1.98I 50.51%NM 48.14%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.83%EV -0.396%E -0.099%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 19:00
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 18:40
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-24 03:49
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 18:58
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -6.76%E -3.43%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.91%EV -6.37%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 21:00
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-24 03:45
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.80%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -6.37%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 20:54
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 18:20
PMU (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -14.81%E -8.23%K -18.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 11:05
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.46%EV -2.98%E -1.45%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.35%EV -6.69%E -1.99%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.20%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 18:39
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:39
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 01:50
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-24 01:50
Winamax (DE)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -6.29%E -3.18%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:40
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 18:59
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 19:00
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -10.07%E -5.30%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -2.89%E -0.740%K -0.995%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:59
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:38
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 18:39
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -5.38%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:00
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 18:59
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:39
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:40
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 18:39
Suprabets1.97I 50.76%NM 46.60%EV -6.76%E -3.43%K -6.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-24 03:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.87%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 18:35
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.85%EV -7.71%E -3.95%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -9.11%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 18:59
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 47.28%EV -10.55%E -5.58%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.75%EV -10.58%E -3.29%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.96%EV -10.85%E -3.03%K -4.21%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 18:43
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -5.34%E -2.67%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -6.62%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 03:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Neds1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -9.60%E -5.03%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.50%EV -11.97%E -6.43%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -11.14%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.89%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-23 18:39
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%EV -4.40%E -2.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -12.52%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-24 03:34
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -12.44%E -6.73%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -10.36%E -2.88%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.49%EV -13.39%E -7.32%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.48%EV -11.60%E -3.27%K -4.55%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -13.39%E -7.32%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -13.91%E -4.49%K -6.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -19.07%E -5.87%K -8.48%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-23 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.75%EV -12.91%E -7.02%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.67%EV -16.69%E -5.56%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.58%EV -12.85%E -3.67%K -5.14%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-23 18:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.95%2.8%2026-04-24 00:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-04-24 02:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-04-23 23:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.62%2.8%2026-04-24 01:30
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.66%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.21%3.0%2026-04-24 01:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%5.4%2026-04-24 03:40