Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.79
assuming max odds 4.21
assuming max odds 4.36
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hertha Berlin (Local): 53.55%; 1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visit): 23.52%; Draw: 22.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.361. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.360, with an expected value of -0.032%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.89%EV -4.15%E -2.32%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV -0.963%E -0.229%K -0.300%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.19%EV -4.62%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -4.69%E -2.63%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -4.69%E -2.63%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.63%EV -5.76%E -3.27%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 23.47%EV -8.97%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 10:56 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 10:57 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -6.83%E -3.92%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -6.83%E -3.92%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.20%E -0.285%K -0.374%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.41%E -0.327%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.93%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.73%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.00%EV -2.84%E -0.689%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.78%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -15.16%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -15.16%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.48%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.67%E -5.05%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.94%EV -12.25%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 10:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -22.04%E -6.48%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 17.1% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.83%EV -11.11%E -6.69%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-11 10:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -11.11%E -6.69%K -16.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.31%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.61%EV -13.25%E -8.18%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 11:00 |