L’École des cotes

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 11:02 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hertha Berlin (Local)

Prévision 53.55%1.87cote équitable
EV -4.15%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -5.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.15%53.47%53.46%55.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.731.731.7961.73%57.92%57.80%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.52%4.25cote équitable
EV -0.963%
Avantage -0.229%
Kelly -0.300%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.70%23.58%23.58%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.923.904.2128.57%25.54%25.64%23.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.93%4.36cote équitable
EV -0.032%
Avantage -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.78%22.94%22.97%25.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.953.904.3629.41%25.29%25.64%22.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.89%EV -4.15%E -2.32%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV -0.963%E -0.229%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.19%EV -4.62%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -4.69%E -2.63%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:00
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -4.69%E -2.63%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 10:59
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:00
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.63%EV -5.76%E -3.27%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 10:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Suprabets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.47%EV -8.97%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:56
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:00
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:57
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -6.83%E -3.92%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -6.83%E -3.92%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.20%E -0.285%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.41%E -0.327%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.93%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.73%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:59
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.00%EV -2.84%E -0.689%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.78%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 10:59
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:59
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:59
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:59
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 10:59
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -15.16%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -15.16%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.48%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.67%E -5.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.94%EV -12.25%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -22.04%E -6.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.83%EV -11.11%E -6.69%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 10:59
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -11.11%E -6.69%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.31%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.61%EV -13.25%E -8.18%K -21.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%2.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%7.1%2026-04-11 11:00