La scuola delle quote

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Inizio: 2026-04-11 11:02 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Hertha Berlin (Casa)

Previsione 53.55%1.87quota equa
EV -4.15%
Vantaggio -2.32%
Kelly -5.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.15%53.47%53.46%55.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.731.731.7961.73%57.92%57.80%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.52%4.25quota equa
EV -0.963%
Vantaggio -0.229%
Kelly -0.300%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.21

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.70%23.58%23.58%25.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.923.904.2128.57%25.54%25.64%23.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.93%4.36quota equa
EV -0.032%
Vantaggio -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.78%22.94%22.97%25.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.953.904.3629.41%25.29%25.64%22.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.89%EV -4.15%E -2.32%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV -0.963%E -0.229%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.19%EV -4.62%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -4.69%E -2.63%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:00
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -4.69%E -2.63%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 10:59
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:00
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.63%EV -5.76%E -3.27%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 10:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Suprabets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.47%EV -8.97%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:56
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:00
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:57
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -6.83%E -3.92%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -6.83%E -3.92%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.20%E -0.285%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.41%E -0.327%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.93%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.73%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:59
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.00%EV -2.84%E -0.689%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.78%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 10:59
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:59
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:59
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:59
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 10:59
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -15.16%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -15.16%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.48%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.67%E -5.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.94%EV -12.25%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -22.04%E -6.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.83%EV -11.11%E -6.69%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 10:59
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -11.11%E -6.69%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.31%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.61%EV -13.25%E -8.18%K -21.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%2.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%7.1%2026-04-11 11:00