La escuela de los momios

Hertha Berlin v 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Inicio: 2026-04-11 11:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Hertha Berlin (Local)

Predicción 53.55%1.87momio equitativo
EV -4.15%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -5.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.15%53.47%53.46%55.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.731.731.7961.73%57.92%57.80%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

1. FC Kaiserslautern (Visitante)

Predicción 23.52%4.25momio equitativo
EV -0.963%
Ventaja -0.229%
Kelly -0.300%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.21

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.70%23.58%23.58%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.923.904.2128.57%25.54%25.64%23.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.93%4.36momio equitativo
EV -0.032%
Ventaja -0.007%
Kelly -0.009%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.78%22.94%22.97%25.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.953.904.3629.41%25.29%25.64%22.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.89%EV -4.15%E -2.32%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.91%EV -0.963%E -0.229%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 23.19%EV -4.62%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-11 10:59
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -4.69%E -2.63%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:00
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.96%EV -4.69%E -2.63%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 11:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 10:59
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:00
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.03%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 11:00
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.10%EV -5.22%E -2.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.63%EV -5.76%E -3.27%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -7.08%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 10:59
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Suprabets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.24%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.47%EV -8.97%E -2.26%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 10:56
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 11:00
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 52.85%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 10:57
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -6.29%E -3.60%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.06%EV -6.83%E -3.92%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.95%EV -12.96%E -3.50%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 11:00
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 53.00%EV -6.83%E -3.92%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.95%EV -11.73%E -3.05%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.12%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -1.20%E -0.285%K -0.374%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.41%E -0.327%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 10:59
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.93%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -4.73%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 10:59
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.60%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 10:59
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 11:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.36%E -4.26%K -10.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -8.26%E -2.12%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 10:59
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.22%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.00%EV -2.84%E -0.689%K -0.909%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.78%EV -0.032%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 10:59
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:59
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 53.43%EV -7.90%E -4.59%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.87%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.69%EV -7.14%E -1.76%K -2.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 10:59
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.82%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -3.55%E -0.866%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -3.70%E -0.881%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 11:00
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 10:59
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.43%E -4.93%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -5.90%E -1.48%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -5.99%E -1.46%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-11 10:59
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -12.87%E -3.39%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.45%EV -8.97%E -5.28%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -14.02%E -3.74%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -15.16%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 52.90%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.08%EV -9.43%E -2.45%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -15.16%E -4.10%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.48%EV -10.04%E -5.98%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -17.67%E -5.05%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 11:00
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.54%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 11:00
Betclic (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.46%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.94%EV -12.25%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.60%EV -9.43%E -2.39%K -3.20%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.15%EV -10.58%E -6.33%K -15.79%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.12%EV -22.04%E -6.48%K -9.18%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 53.83%EV -11.11%E -6.69%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.78%E -3.14%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.29%E -2.07%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-11 10:59
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.86%EV -11.11%E -6.69%K -16.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -10.61%E -2.79%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -16.31%E -4.47%K -6.16%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-11 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.61%EV -13.25%E -8.18%K -21.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.12%EV -15.31%E -4.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.27%EV -10.58%E -2.71%K -3.65%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-11 11:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.44%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.02%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-04-11 11:00
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%2.9%2026-04-11 11:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%7.1%2026-04-11 11:00