Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 v Karlsruher SC

Kickoff: 2026-09-04 16:30 UTC

Final: Hannover 96 2–2 Karlsruher SC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prediction 61.98%1.61fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -4.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.11%61.91%62.07%63.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.481.491.5770.92%67.35%67.11%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Karlsruher SC (Visit)

Prediction 17.68%5.66fair odd
EV +2.87%
Edge +0.493%
Kelly +0.595%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 5.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.57%17.69%17.66%19.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.205.225.8221.74%19.24%19.14%17.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.35%4.91fair odd
EV -0.304%
Edge -0.062%
Kelly -0.078%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.99%20.39%20.27%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.504.504.9023.81%22.22%22.22%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hannover 96 (Local): 61.98%; Karlsruher SC (Visit): 17.68%; Draw: 20.35%. For Karlsruher SC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.82, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.61%EV -4.55%E -2.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.57%EV +2.87%E +0.493%K +0.595%G +0.017%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.82%EV -5.80%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +1.63%E +0.284%K +0.344%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.56%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.40%EV -9.26%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.56%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.40%EV -9.26%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:36
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -6.41%E -4.25%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.86%EV -1.73%E -0.310%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -9.46%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.81%EV -1.90%E -0.343%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -9.46%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:34
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -6.41%E -4.25%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.57%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:13
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -9.51%E -6.51%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.54%EV -2.69%E -1.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -9.46%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 08:39
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -2.34%E -0.487%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:29
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:19
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.91%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.15%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -2.34%E -0.487%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.82%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 13:43
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.27%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.99%E -8.44%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.49%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.99%E -8.44%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.49%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.99%E -8.44%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.49%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.63%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.82%EV -12.61%E -8.94%K -30.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -0.304%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 14:19
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.37%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -13.53%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:30
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.18%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-09-04 13:00