Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hannover 96 v Karlsruher SC

2026-09-04 16:30 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Predicción 59.28%1.69momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -2.83%
Kelly -7.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.74%59.27%59.29%60.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.551.551.6167.57%64.59%64.52%62.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Karlsruher SC (Visitante)

Predicción 18.46%5.42momio equitativo
EV +13.52%
Ventaja +2.20%
Kelly +2.62%
Crecimiento +0.355%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.43%18.27%18.64%19.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.404.945.006.1522.73%20.26%20.00%16.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 22.26%4.49momio equitativo
EV -2.04%
Ventaja -0.463%
Kelly -0.599%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.55%22.46%22.07%24.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.584.124.104.4027.93%24.29%24.39%22.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Hannover 96 (Local): 59.28%; Karlsruher SC (Visitante): 18.46%; Empate: 22.26%. Para Karlsruher SC (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.42. 4 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.15, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +13.52%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.84%EV -7.53%E -4.83%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.43%EV +13.52%E +2.20%K +2.62%G +0.355%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-31 09:20
Suprabets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.28%EV -9.90%E -6.51%K -19.04%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.80%EV +7.06%E +1.22%K +1.47%G +0.104%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.92%EV -14.73%E -3.85%K -5.20%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-31 10:32
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -7.53%E -4.83%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.80%EV +2.44%E +0.440%K +0.537%G +0.013%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -11.39%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 13:01
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.19%EV +0.597%E +0.109%K +0.134%G +0.001%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.53%EV -11.39%E -2.86%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -5.16%E -3.22%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -2.17%E -0.410%K -0.505%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-31 08:25
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.24%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.13%EV -3.09%E -0.589%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.76%EV -3.09%E -0.589%K -0.728%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-31 11:55
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.45%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.90%EV -4.02%E -0.773%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-31 11:55
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.56%E -2.83%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -2.04%E -0.463%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 11:49
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.75%E -3.62%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-31 09:33
Unibet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.83%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -5.38%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 09:33
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 10:50
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 10:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.26%E -0.991%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-31 10:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.49%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-31 09:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -7.53%E -4.83%K -13.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.38%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-31 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-31 12:00
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.49%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 12:43
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.49%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 12:45
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.49%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -6.49%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-31 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.01%EV -10.49%E -6.95%K -20.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.52%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.47%EV -20.29%E -5.67%K -7.87%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-31 10:32
NetBet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 58.96%EV -12.27%E -8.29%K -25.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.45%EV -7.71%E -1.54%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.58%EV -17.62%E -4.76%K -6.53%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-31 11:18
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.87%EV -6.34%E -4.01%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -9.56%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.49%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-31 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -9.56%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -9.83%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 09:30
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.86%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -9.56%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -9.83%E -2.43%K -3.22%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-31 09:34
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -9.56%E -1.95%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 09:35
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -11.40%E -2.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-31 11:10
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.32%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.49%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 11:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.32%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.49%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 11:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.32%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.49%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 11:35
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -6.93%E -4.42%K -12.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -12.32%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.49%E -1.54%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 11:34
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.83%EV -8.71%E -5.66%K -16.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%EV -12.32%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 10:50
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.32%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -9.31%E -6.08%K -17.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -12.32%E -2.59%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 10:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.03%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -13.25%E -2.82%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.03%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -13.25%E -2.82%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.03%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -13.25%E -2.82%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-31 10:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.46%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -15.09%E -3.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.48%EV -13.17%E -3.38%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 09:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.94%E -3.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.94%E -3.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:49
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.94%E -3.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.12%E -5.24%K -14.76%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -16.94%E -3.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-31 11:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.53%EV -9.90%E -6.51%K -19.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.94%E -3.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -8.72%E -2.13%K -2.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-31 09:35
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.87%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.29%EV -16.94%E -3.76%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.84%EV -15.39%E -4.05%K -5.50%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-31 11:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.28%EV -11.08%E -7.39%K -22.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.87%EV -18.78%E -4.27%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -10.94%E -2.74%K -3.65%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-31 09:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 61.13%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.34%2.9%2026-08-31 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.87%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%4.3%2026-08-31 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.87%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%4.3%2026-08-31 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.87%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.82%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%4.3%2026-08-31 12:20
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.54%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.92%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%5.5%2026-08-31 12:40