Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Hannover 96 v Karlsruher SC

Начало: 2026-09-04 16:30 UTC

Итог: Hannover 96 2–2 Karlsruher SC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Hannover 96 (Хозяева)

Прогноз 61.98%1.61справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.69%
Преимущество -1.72%
Kelly -4.73%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.57

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.11%61.91%62.07%63.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.411.481.491.5770.92%67.35%67.11%63.69%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Karlsruher SC (Гости)

Прогноз 17.68%5.66справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.87%
Преимущество +0.493%
Kelly +0.595%
Рост +0.017%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.82

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
16.57%17.69%17.66%19.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.605.205.225.8221.74%19.24%19.14%17.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 20.35%4.91справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.304%
Преимущество -0.062%
Kelly -0.078%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
18.99%20.39%20.27%21.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.204.504.504.9023.81%22.22%22.22%20.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Hannover 96 (Хозяева): 61.98%; Karlsruher SC (Гости): 17.68%; Ничья: 20.35%. Для исхода «Karlsruher SC (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.66. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 5.82, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.87%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.61%EV -4.55%E -2.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.57%EV +2.87%E +0.493%K +0.595%G +0.017%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.82%EV -5.80%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +1.63%E +0.284%K +0.344%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.56%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.40%EV -9.26%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.56%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.40%EV -9.26%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:36
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -6.41%E -4.25%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.86%EV -1.73%E -0.310%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -9.46%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.81%EV -1.90%E -0.343%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -9.46%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:34
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -6.41%E -4.25%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.57%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:13
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -9.51%E -6.51%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.54%EV -2.69%E -1.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -9.46%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 08:39
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -2.34%E -0.487%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:29
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:19
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.91%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.15%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -2.34%E -0.487%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.82%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 13:43
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.27%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.99%E -8.44%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.49%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.99%E -8.44%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.49%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.99%E -8.44%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.49%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.63%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.82%EV -12.61%E -8.94%K -30.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -0.304%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 14:19
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.37%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -13.53%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:30
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.18%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-09-04 13:00