Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hannover 96 v Karlsruher SC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 16:30 UTC

Score final : Hannover 96 2–2 Karlsruher SC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Hannover 96 (Local)

Prévision 61.98%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.69%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -4.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.11%61.91%62.07%63.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.481.491.5770.92%67.35%67.11%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Karlsruher SC (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.68%5.66cote équitable
EV +2.87%
Avantage +0.493%
Kelly +0.595%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 5.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.57%17.69%17.66%19.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.605.205.225.8221.74%19.24%19.14%17.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 20.35%4.91cote équitable
EV -0.304%
Avantage -0.062%
Kelly -0.078%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.99%20.39%20.27%21.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.504.504.9023.81%22.22%22.22%20.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Hannover 96 (Local) : 61.98% ; Karlsruher SC (Visiteur) : 17.68% ; Match nul : 20.35%. Pour Karlsruher SC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.66. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.82, soit une espérance positive de +2.87%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.61%EV -4.55%E -2.96%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.57%EV +2.87%E +0.493%K +0.595%G +0.017%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.82%EV -5.80%E -1.25%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +1.63%E +0.284%K +0.344%G +0.006%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.56%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.40%EV -9.26%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.56%EV -3.93%E -2.54%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.40%EV -9.26%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:25
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.77%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV -1.02%E -0.182%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:36
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.08%EV -6.41%E -4.25%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.56I 17.99%NM 16.86%EV -1.73%E -0.310%K -0.378%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.06%EV -9.46%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.21%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.81%EV -1.90%E -0.343%K -0.418%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.97%EV -9.46%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:34
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -4.37%E -0.930%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:55
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -6.41%E -4.25%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-04 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -2.79%E -0.507%K -0.619%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-04 14:35
Suprabets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.57%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.10%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.33%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 14:13
Unibet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 62.98%EV -9.51%E -6.51%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.03%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.99%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Grosvenor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.95%EV -4.55%E -0.843%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-04 11:25
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.54%EV -2.69%E -1.72%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.36%EV -9.46%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 08:39
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.10%EV -5.17%E -3.38%K -9.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.80%EV -2.34%E -0.487%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:29
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:19
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.76%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.69%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.55%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-04 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.91%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.92%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.62%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -7.21%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.15%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.17%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.68%EV -2.34%E -0.487%K -0.615%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.82%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 13:43
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.50%EV -11.37%E -7.95%K -26.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -8.09%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.27%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.19%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 14:23
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.99%E -8.44%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.49%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.99%E -8.44%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.49%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.31%EV -11.99%E -8.44%K -28.55%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.35%EV -9.86%E -1.93%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.34%EV -11.49%E -2.64%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-04 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.58%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -3.36%E -0.706%K -0.895%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 14:20
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 14:20
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.63%EV -5.79%E -3.81%K -11.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -10.48%E -2.38%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 14:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:40
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -10.75%E -7.47%K -24.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.82%EV -12.61%E -8.94%K -30.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.43%EV -11.62%E -2.32%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.75%EV -14.55%E -3.46%K -4.55%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-04 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -0.304%E -0.062%K -0.078%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:20
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%EV -7.03%E -4.69%K -14.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 14:19
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.15%EV -7.65%E -5.14%K -15.62%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.39%E -2.73%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -8.44%E -1.88%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-04 14:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.01%EV -8.89%E -6.05%K -18.92%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.50%EV -6.41%E -1.39%K -1.78%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.11%EV -8.27%E -5.59%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.34%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.55%EV -11.90%E -2.75%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-04 14:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.37%EV -10.13%E -6.99%K -22.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.03%EV -18.69%E -4.06%K -5.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -13.53%E -3.18%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:40
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.88%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.28%0.6%2026-09-04 13:30
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-09-04 14:20
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.18%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-09-04 13:00