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Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg

2026-08-15 11:00 UTC — Bundesliga 2 - Germany

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prediction 38.11%2.62fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.05%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.21%38.08%38.13%39.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.402.4944.44%41.99%41.67%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

1. FC Nürnberg (Visit)

Prediction 36.58%2.73fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.43%36.62%36.51%37.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.502.6543.48%40.25%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -0.899%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.54%25.30%25.36%26.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.593.603.8530.77%27.89%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Greuther Fürth (Local): 38.11%; 1. FC Nürnberg (Visit): 36.58%; Draw: 25.31%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.85, with an expected value of -2.56%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.21%EV -5.10%E -2.05%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.06%EV -8.55%E -3.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.73%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 11:55
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.82%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.15%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:49
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.28%EV -5.49%E -2.21%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -7.82%E -3.10%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -10.15%E -2.86%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-08 11:50
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.78%EV -6.63%E -2.71%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -4.89%E -1.88%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.68%EV -2.56%E -0.666%K -0.899%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 11:49
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.48%EV -7.01%E -2.87%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -3.06%E -1.15%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 11:50
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.72%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:50
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -6.72%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.83%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 11:48
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.72%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -6.72%E -2.63%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 11:49
LeoVegas🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.52%EV -8.53%E -3.56%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.75%EV -10.38%E -4.24%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-08 11:54
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.30%E -3.91%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -8.55%E -3.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -10.44%E -4.44%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -14.03%E -5.97%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.42%E -3.26%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-08 11:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.75%EV -11.58%E -4.99%K -8.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.49%EV -12.21%E -5.09%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.76%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-08 11:49
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -8.55%E -3.42%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 11:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -12.35%E -5.37%K -9.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.36%EV -15.86%E -6.90%K -12.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.27%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-08 11:49
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -14.25%E -6.33%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -12.21%E -5.09%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -13.95%E -4.10%K -5.81%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-08 11:48
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 37.74%EV -14.25%E -6.33%K -11.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.13%EV -14.03%E -5.97%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.13%EV -17.75%E -5.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%17.8%2026-08-08 11:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.70%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.29%13.5%2026-08-08 11:50
Kalshi◎1.28I 78.13%NM 33.33%1.28I 78.13%NM 33.33%1.28I 78.13%NM 33.33%134.4%2026-08-08 13:10