Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 11:00 UTC

Score final : Greuther Fürth 2–4 1. FC Nürnberg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prévision 31.06%3.22cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.691%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.20%31.15%31.04%32.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.903.1536.36%34.09%34.48%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Nürnberg (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.57%2.35cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.28

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.94%42.52%42.64%43.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.072.192.202.2848.31%45.68%45.45%43.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.37%3.79cote équitable
EV -1.10%
Avantage -0.293%
Kelly -0.400%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.39%26.33%26.33%26.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.71%28.57%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Greuther Fürth (Local) : 31.06% ; 1. FC Nürnberg (Visiteur) : 42.57% ; Match nul : 26.37%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.79. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.75, pour une espérance de -1.10% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.69%EV -2.18%E -0.691%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.54%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -1.10%E -0.293%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 10:44
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:33
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 04:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -4.97%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.68%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 05:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -4.97%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.68%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 06:00
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -2.42%E -0.654%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.19%E -3.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:54
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.36%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 18:19
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:05
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:04
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.19%E -3.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:29
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:03
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 10:34
Suprabets🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.39%EV -7.46%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.33%EV -5.92%E -2.68%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -6.11%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 10:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.52%EV -7.46%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.89%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -9.80%E -2.87%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:37
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.10%E -0.293%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:39
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:46
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 18:10
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 10:53
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 10:53
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 10:44
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:45
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:35
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:34
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 18:09
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 10:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 10:45
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -11.49%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 10:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -11.49%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -11.88%E -5.74%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-13 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-13 18:19
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-13 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.05%E -3.72%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-13 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.05%E -3.72%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-13 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.05%E -3.72%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-13 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-08-15 10:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 10:54
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 10:54
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-15 10:54
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-08-15 10:54