Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Nürnberg

Início: 2026-08-15 11:00 UTC

Final: Greuther Fürth 2–4 1. FC Nürnberg

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Previsão 31.06%3.22odd justa
EV -2.18%
Vantagem -0.691%
Kelly -1.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.20%31.15%31.04%32.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.932.903.1536.36%34.09%34.48%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

1. FC Nürnberg (Visitante)

Previsão 42.57%2.35odd justa
EV -2.94%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.29%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.28

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.94%42.52%42.64%43.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.072.192.202.2848.31%45.68%45.45%43.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.37%3.79odd justa
EV -1.10%
Vantagem -0.293%
Kelly -0.400%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.39%26.33%26.33%26.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.483.503.7530.30%28.71%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Greuther Fürth (Local): 31.06%; 1. FC Nürnberg (Visitante): 42.57%; Empate: 26.37%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.79. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.75, com valor esperado de -1.10%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.69%EV -2.18%E -0.691%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.54%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -1.10%E -0.293%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-15 10:44
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:33
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 04:10
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 10:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -4.97%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.68%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 05:59
BetOnline.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -4.97%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.68%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 06:00
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -2.42%E -0.654%K -0.896%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.19%E -3.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 10:54
1xBet🎯3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.36%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 18:19
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 10:29
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 10:05
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:04
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.19%E -3.30%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 10:29
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:03
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 10:34
Suprabets🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.39%EV -7.46%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.33%EV -5.92%E -2.68%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -6.11%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 10:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.52%EV -7.46%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.89%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -9.80%E -2.87%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-15 10:37
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.10%E -0.293%K -0.400%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:39
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-15 10:46
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-13 18:19
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-12 18:10
betano_uk🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 10:53
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 10:53
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 10:44
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:45
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 10:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:35
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:35
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-15 09:34
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 18:09
LeoVegas🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 10:54
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 10:28
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-15 10:45
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-15 10:29
Winamax (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -11.49%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-15 10:04
NetBet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -11.49%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -11.88%E -5.74%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-15 10:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-13 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-13 18:19
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-13 18:19
PMU (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.05%E -3.72%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-13 18:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.05%E -3.72%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-13 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.05%E -3.72%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-13 18:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-08-15 10:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 10:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 10:54
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-08-15 10:54
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.62%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-08-15 10:54
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20%1.8%2026-08-15 10:54