Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Greuther Fürth (Local): 31.06%; 1. FC Nürnberg (Visitante): 42.57%; Empate: 26.37%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.79. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.75, con un valor esperado de -1.10%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.69%EV -2.18%E -0.691%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.54%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -1.10%E -0.293%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 09:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-15 04:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.73%E -1.20%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-15 10:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -4.97%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.68%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 05:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.10%EV -4.97%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.68%EV -5.07%E -2.27%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.22%EV -4.26%E -1.17%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 06:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -2.42%E -0.654%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.81%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.33%EV -5.49%E -2.47%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 10:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.28%E -1.73%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.19%E -3.30%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.34%EV -5.90%E -1.95%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -3.36%E -1.48%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.83%EV -6.64%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-12 18:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -7.19%E -3.30%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 10:03 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 10:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -6.83%E -2.28%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 10:34 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.39%EV -7.46%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.33%EV -5.92%E -2.68%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.28%EV -6.11%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.52%EV -7.46%E -2.50%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.89%EV -9.75%E -4.60%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.59%EV -9.80%E -2.87%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 10:37 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -4.21%E -1.87%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -1.10%E -0.293%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 09:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.99%EV -8.39%E -2.84%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.52%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-15 10:46 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.02%EV -2.94%E -1.29%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-12 18:10 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 10:53 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-15 10:53 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.05%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -6.37%E -1.80%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 10:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 10:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 10:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.94%E -3.43%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-15 09:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-12 18:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.36%EV -8.47%E -3.94%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.69%E -2.20%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 10:28 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.33%E -3.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-15 10:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.56%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-15 10:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -11.49%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -10.60%E -5.05%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -9.01%E -2.61%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.98%EV -11.49%E -4.03%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.66%EV -11.88%E -5.74%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.36%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-15 10:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-13 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -13.05%E -4.66%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -6.34%E -2.88%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.65%E -3.48%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.05%E -3.72%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.05%E -3.72%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 18:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -14.60%E -5.31%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 40.98%EV -8.05%E -3.72%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.97%E -3.93%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-13 18:20 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.46% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.70% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.09% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.20% | 1.8% | 2026-08-15 10:54 |