Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 2.18
assuming max odds 4.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Greuther Fürth (Local): 29.81%; 1. FC Heidenheim (Visit): 45.67%; Draw: 24.52%. For Greuther Fürth (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV +1.34%E +0.395%K +0.560%G +0.008% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.23%EV -8.19%E -4.08%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -6.34%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.25%EV -1.34%E -0.405%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.55%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.20%EV -1.92%E -0.481%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -1.64%E -0.496%K -0.712%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 11:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.62%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.62%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.62%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 11:24 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.29%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.28%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.42%EV -7.07%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 11:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.15%E -0.798%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 11:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 11:23 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.46%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 11:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.76%EV -7.00%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 11:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.76%EV -7.00%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19%EV -2.71%E -1.27%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -0.699%E -0.173%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 11:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19%EV -2.71%E -1.27%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -0.699%E -0.173%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-06 11:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.92%E -0.481%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.94%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 24.72%EV -9.77%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 11:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.09%E -2.98%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -1.80%E -0.837%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.92%E -0.481%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -11.85%E -6.14%K -12.74%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.07%E -4.09%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.58%EV -10.48%E -5.35%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-06 11:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.81%EV -12.96%E -4.44%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.33%EV -12.31%E -6.41%K -13.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.56%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.56%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 11:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -18.03%E -6.56%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -18.03%E -6.56%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -18.03%E -6.56%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-06 10:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.81%EV -19.52%E -7.23%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.59%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.81%EV -19.52%E -7.23%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.59%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.81%EV -19.52%E -7.23%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 42.59%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-06 10:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 11:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.74% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92% | 0.3% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 11:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 11:20 |