Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Heidenheim

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-06 11:30 UTC

Score final : Greuther Fürth 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Prévision 29.81%3.35cote équitable
EV +1.34%
Avantage +0.395%
Kelly +0.560%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.92%30.08%29.69%32.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.703.023.023.4037.04%33.13%33.06%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

1. FC Heidenheim (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.67%2.19cote équitable
EV -0.430%
Avantage -0.197%
Kelly -0.364%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.18

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.52%45.48%45.62%47.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.922.062.052.1852.08%48.62%48.78%45.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.52%4.08cote équitable
EV -0.699%
Avantage -0.173%
Kelly -0.229%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.58%24.44%24.68%25.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.743.754.0528.57%26.76%26.67%24.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Greuther Fürth (Local) : 29.81% ; 1. FC Heidenheim (Visiteur) : 45.67% ; Match nul : 24.52%. Pour Greuther Fürth (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.35. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +1.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV +1.34%E +0.395%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.23%EV -8.19%E -4.08%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -6.34%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 11:20
Pinnacle🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.25%EV -1.34%E -0.405%K -0.580%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.55%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.20%EV -1.92%E -0.481%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -1.64%E -0.496%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.62%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.62%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:15
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.62%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:24
Suprabets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.29%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.28%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.42%EV -7.07%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 11:05
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.15%E -0.798%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 11:04
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:20
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 11:15
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:23
Marathon Bet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.46%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 11:00
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.76%EV -7.00%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:19
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.76%EV -7.00%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19%EV -2.71%E -1.27%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -0.699%E -0.173%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19%EV -2.71%E -1.27%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -0.699%E -0.173%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 11:00
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.92%E -0.481%K -0.642%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 11:15
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 11:15
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:15
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:15
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.94%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.72%EV -9.77%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 11:14
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:15
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.09%E -2.98%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:20
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -1.80%E -0.837%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.92%E -0.481%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 11:10
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:20
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:20
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -11.85%E -6.14%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.07%E -4.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.58%EV -10.48%E -5.35%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 29.81%EV -12.96%E -4.44%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.33%EV -12.31%E -6.41%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-06 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.56%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.56%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:10
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -18.03%E -6.56%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 10:54
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -18.03%E -6.56%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 10:54
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -18.03%E -6.56%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.81%EV -19.52%E -7.23%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.59%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.81%EV -19.52%E -7.23%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.59%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.81%EV -19.52%E -7.23%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.59%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 10:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-09-06 11:10
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%0.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-09-06 11:20