Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Greuther Fürth v 1. FC Heidenheim

Início: 2026-09-06 11:30 UTC

Final: Greuther Fürth 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Greuther Fürth (Local)

Previsão 29.81%3.35odd justa
EV +1.34%
Vantagem +0.395%
Kelly +0.560%
Crescimento +0.008%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.92%30.08%29.69%32.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.703.023.023.4037.04%33.13%33.06%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

1. FC Heidenheim (Visitante)

Previsão 45.67%2.19odd justa
EV -0.430%
Vantagem -0.197%
Kelly -0.364%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.52%45.48%45.62%47.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.922.062.052.1852.08%48.62%48.78%45.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.52%4.08odd justa
EV -0.699%
Vantagem -0.173%
Kelly -0.229%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.58%24.44%24.68%25.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.743.754.0528.57%26.76%26.67%24.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Greuther Fürth (Local): 29.81%; 1. FC Heidenheim (Visitante): 45.67%; Empate: 24.52%. Para Greuther Fürth (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.35. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.34%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV +1.34%E +0.395%K +0.560%G +0.008%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.23%EV -8.19%E -4.08%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.85%EV -6.34%E -1.66%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 11:20
Pinnacle🎯3.31I 30.21%NM 29.25%EV -1.34%E -0.405%K -0.580%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.55%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.20%EV -1.92%E -0.481%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -1.64%E -0.496%K -0.712%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 11:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.62%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -5.91%E -2.87%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 11:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.62%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:15
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.62%E -1.44%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 11:24
Suprabets🎯3.16I 31.65%NM 29.29%EV -5.81%E -1.84%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.28%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.42%EV -7.07%E -1.87%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 11:05
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -3.15%E -0.798%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 11:04
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 11:20
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.72%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 11:15
Bovada🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -6.11%E -1.94%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 11:23
Marathon Bet🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -6.41%E -2.04%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.46%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 11:00
Bet Victor🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.76%EV -7.00%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:19
betano_uk🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.76%EV -7.00%E -2.24%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.43%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19%EV -2.71%E -1.27%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -0.699%E -0.173%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.19%EV -2.71%E -1.27%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.77%EV -0.699%E -0.173%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 11:00
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.37%E -3.11%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -1.92%E -0.481%K -0.642%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 11:15
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 11:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 11:15
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:15
Betsson🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:15
NordicBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.19%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-06 11:15
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.94%EV -9.56%E -4.83%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.72%EV -9.77%E -2.66%K -3.65%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 11:14
888sport🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:15
William Hill🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -7.60%E -2.45%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 11:15
LeoVegas🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -9.09%E -2.98%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%EV -7.74%E -3.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 11:20
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -1.80%E -0.837%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.92%E -0.481%K -0.642%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 11:10
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 11:20
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:20
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -8.65%E -4.33%K -8.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -10.58%E -3.53%K -5.29%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.88%EV -11.85%E -6.14%K -12.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.28%EV -12.07%E -4.09%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.58%EV -10.48%E -5.35%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 29.81%EV -12.96%E -4.44%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 45.33%EV -12.31%E -6.41%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.87%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-06 11:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.56%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -13.56%E -4.68%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -4.38%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 11:10
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:00
Casumo🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
Grosvenor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:54
betPARX🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.48%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -0.430%E -0.197%K -0.364%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -6.83%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 10:55
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -14.16%E -4.92%K -7.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -4.08%E -1.94%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -18.03%E -6.56%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 10:54
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -18.03%E -6.56%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 10:54
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.78%EV -18.03%E -6.56%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.52%EV -3.17%E -1.50%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.51%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 10:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.81%EV -19.52%E -7.23%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.59%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 10:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.81%EV -19.52%E -7.23%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.59%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.81%EV -19.52%E -7.23%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 42.59%EV -5.00%E -2.40%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-06 10:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi◎3.33I 30.03%NM 30.01%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-09-06 11:10
Smarkets◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.33%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.93%0.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.76%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.32%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.92%0.3%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-09-06 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-09-06 11:20