Школа коэффициентов

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Holstein Kiel

Начало: 2026-04-10 16:32 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Хозяева)

Прогноз 45.73%2.19справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.96%
Преимущество -1.89%
Kelly -3.60%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.35%45.72%45.71%47.04%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.872.012.022.1053.48%49.79%49.50%47.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Holstein Kiel (Гости)

Прогноз 28.36%3.53справедливый коэффициент
EV +1.82%
Преимущество +0.508%
Kelly +0.704%
Рост +0.013%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.59

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.92%28.36%28.38%29.89%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.953.213.203.5933.90%31.13%31.25%27.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 25.91%3.86справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.85%
Преимущество -0.761%
Kelly -1.04%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.75

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
24.57%25.93%25.92%27.60%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.483.473.7532.26%28.77%28.82%26.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.27%EV -4.42%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.94%EV +1.82%E +0.508%K +0.704%G +0.013%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 16:29
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV +0.122%E +0.034%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Suprabets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.04%EV -7.17%E -3.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -3.28%E -0.962%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.81%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 16:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 16:29
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.89%EV -5.79%E -2.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 16:30
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 16:30
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 16:29
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 16:29
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:29
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 16:27
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -5.79%E -2.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.04%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:29
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 16:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -12.65%E -6.62%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -12.65%E -6.62%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 16:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.04%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 16:26
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -11.74%E -6.08%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -11.28%E -5.82%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -10.09%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.75%EV -10.11%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:29
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.65%EV -14.48%E -7.74%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.66%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-10 16:29
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.08%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.35%EV -10.94%E -3.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -2.85%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 16:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.51%EV -11.51%E -3.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-10 16:29
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-10 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -12.65%E -6.62%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -19.69%E -6.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-10 16:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.39%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -11.28%E -5.82%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-10 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.59%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-10 16:30
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 44.43%EV -12.20%E -6.35%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -16.33%E -5.54%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%EV -17.10%E -5.34%K -7.77%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%3.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%4.0%2026-04-10 16:30