Szkoła Kursów

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Holstein Kiel

Początek: 2026-04-10 16:32 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

55 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 45.73%2.19kurs godziwy
EV -3.96%
Przewaga -1.89%
Kelly -3.60%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.10

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
44.35%45.72%45.71%47.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.872.012.022.1053.48%49.79%49.50%47.62%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Holstein Kiel (Goście)

Prognoza 28.36%3.53kurs godziwy
EV +1.82%
Przewaga +0.508%
Kelly +0.704%
Wzrost +0.013%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.59

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
26.92%28.36%28.38%29.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.953.213.203.5933.90%31.13%31.25%27.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 25.91%3.86kurs godziwy
EV -2.85%
Przewaga -0.761%
Kelly -1.04%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
24.57%25.93%25.92%27.60%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.103.483.473.7532.26%28.77%28.82%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.27%EV -4.42%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.94%EV +1.82%E +0.508%K +0.704%G +0.013%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 16:29
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV +0.122%E +0.034%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Suprabets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.04%EV -7.17%E -3.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -3.28%E -0.962%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.81%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 16:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 16:29
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.89%EV -5.79%E -2.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 16:30
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 16:30
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 16:29
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 16:29
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:29
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 16:27
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -5.79%E -2.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.04%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:29
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 16:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -12.65%E -6.62%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -12.65%E -6.62%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 16:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.04%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 16:26
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -11.74%E -6.08%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -11.28%E -5.82%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -10.09%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.75%EV -10.11%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:29
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.65%EV -14.48%E -7.74%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.66%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-10 16:29
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.08%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.35%EV -10.94%E -3.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -2.85%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 16:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.51%EV -11.51%E -3.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-10 16:29
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-10 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -12.65%E -6.62%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -19.69%E -6.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-10 16:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.39%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -11.28%E -5.82%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-10 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.59%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-10 16:30
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 44.43%EV -12.20%E -6.35%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -16.33%E -5.54%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%EV -17.10%E -5.34%K -7.77%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%3.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%4.0%2026-04-10 16:30