مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Holstein Kiel

البداية: 2026-04-10 16:32 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

55 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fortuna Düsseldorf (المضيف)

التنبؤ 45.73%2.19السعر العادل
EV -3.96%
الأفضلية -1.89%
Kelly -3.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.35%45.72%45.71%47.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.872.012.022.1053.48%49.79%49.50%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Holstein Kiel (الضيف)

التنبؤ 28.36%3.53السعر العادل
EV +1.82%
الأفضلية +0.508%
Kelly +0.704%
النمو +0.013%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.59

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.92%28.36%28.38%29.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.953.213.203.5933.90%31.13%31.25%27.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 25.91%3.86السعر العادل
EV -2.85%
الأفضلية -0.761%
Kelly -1.04%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.57%25.93%25.92%27.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.483.473.7532.26%28.77%28.82%26.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (55 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 46.27%EV -4.42%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.94%EV +1.82%E +0.508%K +0.704%G +0.013%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.79%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 16:29
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.92%EV +0.122%E +0.034%K +0.048%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.04%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Suprabets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.04%EV -7.17%E -3.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.41%EV -3.28%E -0.962%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.55%EV -8.81%E -2.50%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-10 16:30
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-10 16:29
Marathon Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.19%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.36%EV -8.29%E -2.34%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:29
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.57%E -1.05%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.89%EV -5.79%E -2.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.90%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 16:30
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.67%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%EV -8.04%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-10 16:30
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 16:29
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 45.33%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-10 16:29
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.97%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:29
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 16:27
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-10 16:29
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.16%EV -5.79%E -2.81%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -8.04%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 16:29
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:29
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.07%EV -4.15%E -1.12%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:29
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 44.41%EV -4.88%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-10 16:29
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.73%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.13%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -12.65%E -6.62%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -12.65%E -6.62%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -7.82%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -3.96%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 16:30
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-10 16:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.08%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.04%E -2.26%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-10 16:26
Unibet (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.41%EV -11.74%E -6.08%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -9.24%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:29
Betclic (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -11.28%E -5.82%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 28.19%EV -10.09%E -3.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.75%EV -10.11%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:29
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.32%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.33%E -2.67%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:30
NetBet (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 46.65%EV -14.48%E -7.74%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.69%EV -10.66%E -3.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.66%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-10 16:29
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.08%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.35%EV -10.94%E -3.48%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -2.85%E -0.761%K -1.04%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 16:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.91%EV -6.25%E -3.05%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.51%EV -11.51%E -3.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.74%E -1.87%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-10 16:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 44.53%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.02%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 44.35%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-10 16:29
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-10 16:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.80%EV -12.65%E -6.62%K -13.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -12.07%E -3.90%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -19.69%E -6.35%K -9.38%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-10 16:29
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -7.62%E -3.77%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -5.44%E -1.49%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:30
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.39%EV -8.54%E -4.27%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.50%EV -13.22%E -3.95%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-10 16:30
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 45.32%EV -11.28%E -5.82%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -11.92%E -3.51%K -4.97%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-10 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.59%EV -9.91%E -5.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.80%EV -13.49%E -4.42%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-10 16:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -10.82%E -5.55%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -14.51%E -4.40%K -6.31%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-10 16:30
PMU (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 44.43%EV -12.20%E -6.35%K -13.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.92%EV -16.33%E -5.54%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.66%EV -17.10%E -5.34%K -7.77%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-10 16:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 47.07%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.59%0.2%2026-04-10 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.71%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.90%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.39%1.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.56%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.80%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-10 16:30
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%3.0%2026-04-10 16:30
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.14%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.98%4.0%2026-04-10 16:30