Школа коэффициентов

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Elversberg

Начало: 2026-05-10 11:30 UTC

Итог: Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 Elversberg

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Хозяева)

Прогноз 29.31%3.41справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.644%
Преимущество -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.39

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.77%29.32%29.39%30.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.163.203.3934.72%31.61%31.25%29.50%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Elversberg (Гости)

Прогноз 46.01%2.17справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.37%
Преимущество -1.60%
Kelly -3.06%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
44.23%46.07%45.88%48.75%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.811.982.002.1055.25%50.46%50.00%47.62%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 24.68%4.05справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.29%
Преимущество -0.324%
Kelly -0.431%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.00

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.33%24.61%24.73%26.41%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.203.763.804.0031.25%26.58%26.32%25.00%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -0.644%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.94%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.54%EV -2.77%E -0.704%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 01:35
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -1.82%E -0.542%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.29%E -0.324%K -0.431%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:40
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -1.82%E -0.542%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.29%E -0.324%K -0.431%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:39
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -6.13%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 02:25
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -6.13%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 02:25
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:39
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:39
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.75%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:39
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.75%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:40
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -13.49%E -7.18%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 21:39
Suprabets3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.27%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.06%EV -7.96%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 01:01
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.14%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 01:00
Marathon Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -7.51%E -3.74%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 00:59
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 01:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 20:09
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 01:09
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 01:09
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:55
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:12
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:15
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 01:03
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 21:29
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 01:00
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -1.29%E -0.324%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:15
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 01:09
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -15.79%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 21:39
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -15.79%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 21:39
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.61%EV -16.71%E -9.23%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 21:40
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 28.98%EV -8.26%E -2.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 01:14
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 23:14
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 23:10
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 01:09
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 02:49
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 23:15
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 01:09
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.00%EV -14.87%E -8.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 01:34
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 23:15
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 23:14
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 23:09
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.98%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.74%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 01:09
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -15.00%E -5.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -15.00%E -5.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.29%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -15.59%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -21.04%E -6.57%K -9.56%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-09 23:09
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:10
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:10
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-10 02:10
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-05-10 01:15