La scuola delle quote

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Elversberg

Inizio: 2026-05-10 11:30 UTC

Finale: Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 Elversberg

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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57 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Casa)

Previsione 29.31%3.41quota equa
EV -0.644%
Vantaggio -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.77%29.32%29.39%30.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.163.203.3934.72%31.61%31.25%29.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elversberg (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.01%2.17quota equa
EV -3.37%
Vantaggio -1.60%
Kelly -3.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.23%46.07%45.88%48.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.982.002.1055.25%50.46%50.00%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.68%4.05quota equa
EV -1.29%
Vantaggio -0.324%
Kelly -0.431%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.33%24.61%24.73%26.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.763.804.0031.25%26.58%26.32%25.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -0.644%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.94%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.54%EV -2.77%E -0.704%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 01:35
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -1.82%E -0.542%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.29%E -0.324%K -0.431%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:40
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -1.82%E -0.542%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.29%E -0.324%K -0.431%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:39
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -6.13%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 02:25
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -6.13%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 02:25
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:39
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:39
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.75%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:39
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.75%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:40
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -13.49%E -7.18%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 21:39
Suprabets3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.27%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.06%EV -7.96%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 01:01
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.14%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 01:00
Marathon Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -7.51%E -3.74%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 00:59
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 01:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 20:09
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 01:09
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 01:09
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:55
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:12
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:15
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 01:03
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 21:29
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 01:00
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -1.29%E -0.324%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:15
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 01:09
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -15.79%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 21:39
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -15.79%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 21:39
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.61%EV -16.71%E -9.23%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 21:40
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 28.98%EV -8.26%E -2.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 01:14
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 23:14
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 23:10
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 01:09
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 02:49
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 23:15
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 01:09
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.00%EV -14.87%E -8.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 01:34
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 23:15
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 23:14
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 23:09
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.98%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.74%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 01:09
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -15.00%E -5.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -15.00%E -5.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.29%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -15.59%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -21.04%E -6.57%K -9.56%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-09 23:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:10
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:10
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-10 02:10
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-05-10 01:15