مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Elversberg

البداية: 2026-05-10 11:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Fortuna Düsseldorf 3–1 Elversberg

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fortuna Düsseldorf (المضيف)

التنبؤ 29.31%3.41السعر العادل
EV -0.644%
الأفضلية -0.190%
Kelly -0.269%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.39

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.77%29.32%29.39%30.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.163.203.3934.72%31.61%31.25%29.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Elversberg (الضيف)

التنبؤ 46.01%2.17السعر العادل
EV -3.37%
الأفضلية -1.60%
Kelly -3.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
44.23%46.07%45.88%48.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.811.982.002.1055.25%50.46%50.00%47.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.68%4.05السعر العادل
EV -1.29%
الأفضلية -0.324%
Kelly -0.431%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.33%24.61%24.73%26.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.763.804.0031.25%26.58%26.32%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.52%EV -0.644%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.94%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.54%EV -2.77%E -0.704%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-10 01:35
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -1.82%E -0.542%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.29%E -0.324%K -0.431%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:40
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -1.82%E -0.542%K -0.773%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.58%EV -11.19%E -5.80%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -1.29%E -0.324%K -0.431%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 21:39
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -6.13%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 02:25
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -6.13%E -3.00%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 02:25
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.60%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.19%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:39
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
TABtouch3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:39
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.49%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.75%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:39
BetRivers3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.75%EV -13.03%E -6.90%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.33%EV -2.53%E -0.640%K -0.857%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-09 21:40
LeoVegas3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -3.28%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -13.49%E -7.18%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -3.76%E -0.965%K -1.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-09 21:39
Suprabets3.26I 30.67%NM 28.67%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.27%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.06%EV -7.96%E -2.13%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 01:01
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.82%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.14%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.04%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-10 01:00
Marathon Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.38%EV -7.51%E -3.74%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.71%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 00:59
Everygame3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-10 01:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.02%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -5.00%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 20:09
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.75%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 01:09
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 01:09
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:55
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:12
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 19:15
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 01:03
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 21:29
PlayUp3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.18%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 01:00
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.29%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.86%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.85%EV -1.29%E -0.324%K -0.431%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 23:15
theScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 01:09
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -15.79%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 21:39
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.17%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -15.79%E -8.63%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 21:39
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.93%EV -7.68%E -2.44%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.61%EV -16.71%E -9.23%K -20.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.46%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-09 21:40
Betclic (FR)3.13I 31.95%NM 28.98%EV -8.26%E -2.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.51%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 01:14
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 23:14
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 23:10
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 01:09
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -7.05%E -3.49%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.70%E -2.35%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-10 02:49
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-09 23:04
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.22%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 23:15
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-10 01:09
NetBet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.51%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.00%EV -14.87%E -8.04%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-10 01:34
PointsBet (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -6.23%E -1.64%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-09 23:15
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -7.46%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 23:14
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 23:09
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 19:15
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -12.07%E -4.02%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.98%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.74%EV -12.40%E -3.49%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-10 01:09
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -15.00%E -5.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -13.63%E -3.89%K -5.45%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-09 23:09
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.30%EV -15.00%E -5.17%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.29%EV -10.73%E -5.53%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -11.16%E -3.10%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-10 01:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -15.59%E -5.41%K -8.29%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -12.11%E -6.34%K -13.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -21.04%E -6.57%K -9.56%G +0.000%18.3%2026-05-09 23:09
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:10
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04%1.5%2026-05-10 02:10
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-05-10 02:10
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-05-10 01:15