Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

FC Schalke 04 v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Начало: 2026-05-02 18:30 UTC

Итог: FC Schalke 04 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

56 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

FC Schalke 04 (Хозяева)

Прогноз 61.66%1.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.35%
Преимущество -0.843%
Kelly -2.25%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.60

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
58.18%61.44%61.70%62.86%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.421.521.511.6070.42%65.99%66.23%62.50%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Гости)

Прогноз 16.70%5.99справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.38%
Преимущество +0.388%
Kelly +0.463%
Рост +0.011%

при максимальном коэффициенте 6.13

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.66%16.76%16.76%18.52%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.805.405.406.1320.83%18.52%18.52%16.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 21.64%4.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.61%
Преимущество -0.580%
Kelly -0.746%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
20.47%21.80%21.54%24.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.504.144.104.5028.57%24.15%24.39%22.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: FC Schalke 04 (Хозяева): 61.66%; Fortuna Düsseldorf (Гости): 16.70%; Ничья: 21.64%. Для исхода «Fortuna Düsseldorf (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.99. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.13, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +2.38%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (56 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Pinnacle🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.76%EV -5.05%E -3.28%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.77%EV +2.38%E +0.388%K +0.463%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -2.61%E -0.580%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV +0.207%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +0.207%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:05
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV +0.207%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:24
Suprabets🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.63%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -3.81%E -2.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 10:20
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:44
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:14
PlayUp🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.80%E -0.843%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.47%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:35
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.81%E -2.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.81%E -2.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Betsson🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 17:31
NordicBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 17:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 06:05
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 05:51
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 06:04
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 18:10
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 18:21
Unibet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Grosvenor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -5.05%E -3.28%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.94%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -3.20%E -2.04%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 06:10
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:00
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -10.19%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 61.82%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -13.15%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -2.61%E -0.580%K -0.746%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 10:45
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -1.35%E -0.843%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -14.52%E -3.67%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.73%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.73%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.88%EV -9.36%E -6.37%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.68%E -4.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 61.22%EV -12.45%E -8.77%K -29.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.05%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-02 18:05
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 58.84%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -24.25%E -6.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -18.16%E -3.71%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:00
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:00
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:01
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-05-02 18:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.40%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78%1.1%2026-05-02 18:10
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.1%2026-05-02 18:25
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-02 18:20