La scuola delle quote

FC Schalke 04 v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Inizio: 2026-05-02 18:30 UTC

Finale: FC Schalke 04 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

FC Schalke 04 (Casa)

Previsione 61.66%1.62quota equa
EV -1.35%
Vantaggio -0.843%
Kelly -2.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.18%61.44%61.70%62.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.421.521.511.6070.42%65.99%66.23%62.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.70%5.99quota equa
EV +2.38%
Vantaggio +0.388%
Kelly +0.463%
Crescita +0.011%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.13

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.66%16.76%16.76%18.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.805.405.406.1320.83%18.52%18.52%16.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.64%4.62quota equa
EV -2.61%
Vantaggio -0.580%
Kelly -0.746%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.47%21.80%21.54%24.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.144.104.5028.57%24.15%24.39%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.76%EV -5.05%E -3.28%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.77%EV +2.38%E +0.388%K +0.463%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -2.61%E -0.580%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 18:20
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV +0.207%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +0.207%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:05
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV +0.207%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:20
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:24
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:25
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:24
Suprabets1.49I 67.11%NM 62.63%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:24
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -3.81%E -2.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 10:20
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:44
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:14
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.80%E -0.843%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.47%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:35
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:35
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.81%E -2.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.81%E -2.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 17:31
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 17:40
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 06:05
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 05:51
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 06:04
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 18:10
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 18:21
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:20
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -5.05%E -3.28%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.94%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 18:05
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -3.20%E -2.04%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 06:10
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -10.19%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.82%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -13.15%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -2.61%E -0.580%K -0.746%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 10:45
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -1.35%E -0.843%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -14.52%E -3.67%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 59.73%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 59.73%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:20
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.88%EV -9.36%E -6.37%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.68%E -4.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 18:25
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.22%EV -12.45%E -8.77%K -29.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.05%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-02 18:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.84%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -24.25%E -6.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -18.16%E -3.71%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:01
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-05-02 18:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.40%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78%1.1%2026-05-02 18:10
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.1%2026-05-02 18:25
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-02 18:20