L’École des cotes

FC Schalke 04 v Fortuna Düsseldorf

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 18:30 UTC

Score final : FC Schalke 04 1–0 Fortuna Düsseldorf

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

FC Schalke 04 (Local)

Prévision 61.66%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.843%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.18%61.44%61.70%62.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.521.511.6070.42%65.99%66.23%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fortuna Düsseldorf (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.70%5.99cote équitable
EV +2.38%
Avantage +0.388%
Kelly +0.463%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 6.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.66%16.76%16.76%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.805.405.406.1320.83%18.52%18.52%16.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.64%4.62cote équitable
EV -2.61%
Avantage -0.580%
Kelly -0.746%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.47%21.80%21.54%24.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.144.104.5028.57%24.15%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.76%EV -5.05%E -3.28%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.13I 16.31%NM 15.77%EV +2.38%E +0.388%K +0.463%G +0.011%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.48%EV -2.61%E -0.580%K -0.746%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-02 18:20
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.70%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.78%EV +0.207%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.52%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:25
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV +0.207%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 18:05
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.64%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV +0.207%E +0.034%K +0.041%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:20
FanDuel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:24
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:25
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 62.22%EV -6.90%E -4.57%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.93%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 18:24
Suprabets1.49I 67.11%NM 62.63%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.82%EV -1.46%E -0.248%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:24
Coolbet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.20%EV -3.81%E -2.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.60%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-02 10:20
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 61.66%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.94%EV -6.94%E -1.61%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:44
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:14
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 61.47%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.04%EV -3.97%E -0.690%K -0.836%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.19%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.37%EV -4.80%E -0.843%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.44%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:20
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.85%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -6.47%E -1.16%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 17:35
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.29%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -6.29%E -1.45%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 17:35
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.81%E -2.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -3.81%E -2.45%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.97%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-02 17:35
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 17:31
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 17:40
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -6.28%E -4.13%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 06:05
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 05:51
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 06:04
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 18:10
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.69%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -8.14%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-02 18:10
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.28%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 18:21
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 60.06%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.24%EV -9.81%E -1.82%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:20
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -4.43%E -2.86%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.41%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.07%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:20
LeoVegas1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -5.05%E -3.28%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 18:20
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.94%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -11.48%E -2.17%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 18:05
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.39%EV -3.20%E -2.04%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.06%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -4.78%E -1.09%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-02 06:10
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.40%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.10%E -2.17%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 18:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.52%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.55%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.99%EV -12.32%E -2.35%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.49%EV -10.19%E -2.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.82%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.71%EV -13.15%E -2.53%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -2.61%E -0.580%K -0.746%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 10:45
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.18%EV -1.35%E -0.843%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -14.52%E -3.67%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 59.73%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 59.73%EV -8.13%E -5.46%K -16.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.45%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.60%E -4.00%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-02 18:20
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 59.88%EV -9.36%E -6.37%K -19.92%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -16.68%E -4.33%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 18:25
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 61.22%EV -12.45%E -8.77%K -29.64%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.05%EV -14.82%E -2.91%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.73%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-02 18:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -5.66%E -3.70%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-02 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.84%EV -11.21%E -7.79%K -25.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 16.95%EV -16.49%E -3.30%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.21%EV -24.25%E -6.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-02 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -10.60%E -7.31%K -23.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -18.16%E -3.71%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -11.27%E -2.75%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-02 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -7.51%E -5.01%K -15.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -19.83%E -4.13%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -13.43%E -3.36%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-02 06:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-05-02 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.43%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-05-02 18:25
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.40%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.78%1.1%2026-05-02 18:10
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.58%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.45%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%1.1%2026-05-02 18:25
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 61.96%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.79%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.25%2.1%2026-05-02 18:20