La scuola delle quote

Elversberg v SC Paderborn

Inizio: 2026-05-03 11:30 UTC

Finale: Elversberg 5–1 SC Paderborn

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elversberg (Casa)

Previsione 43.27%2.31quota equa
EV -4.81%
Vantaggio -2.19%
Kelly -4.01%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.13%43.36%43.20%44.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.992.132.152.2050.25%46.96%46.51%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

SC Paderborn (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.03%3.22quota equa
EV +0.532%
Vantaggio +0.164%
Kelly +0.238%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.24

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.51%30.97%31.08%32.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.973.003.2436.36%33.67%33.33%30.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.70%3.89quota equa
EV -1.04%
Vantaggio -0.271%
Kelly -0.366%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.77%25.67%25.71%27.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.563.553.8532.26%28.09%28.17%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.19I 45.66%NM 44.19%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV +0.532%E +0.164%K +0.238%G +0.001%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.94%EV -4.13%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-03 11:25
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -0.709%E -0.221%K -0.322%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-03 06:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -2.33%E -0.613%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 07:15
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:14
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:05
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-03 11:15
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:16
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -3.81%E -1.23%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:15
Suprabets2.13I 46.95%NM 43.84%EV -7.84%E -3.68%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.22%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 11:03
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.03%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.93%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-03 08:01
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:05
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 43.14%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.98%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-03 11:05
ATG (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.11%E -2.81%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:50
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 43.21%EV -6.11%E -2.81%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 10:51
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.68%EV -6.18%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:20
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.39%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.79%EV -1.04%E -0.271%K -0.366%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-03 11:00
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -3.61%E -0.964%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-03 10:30
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.07%EV -5.24%E -2.39%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.44%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-03 10:31
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:50
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
TABtouch2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:51
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:55
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.86%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.41%E -3.46%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:50
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 43.18%EV -7.41%E -3.46%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.03%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:51
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.90%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-03 05:55
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-03 11:15
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.53%E -2.53%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:31
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.12%EV -7.53%E -2.53%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.76%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 10:30
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.73%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 10:55
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-03 10:30
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.02%EV -8.27%E -3.90%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -8.47%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-03 10:51
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -4.81%E -2.19%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:01
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-03 11:00
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -4.90%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 10:30
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-03 11:15
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.78%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.28%EV -8.75%E -2.47%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-03 10:30
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -10.02%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-03 11:15
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.97%E -3.24%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -7.47%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-03 10:59
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 10:51
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.75%EV -10.64%E -3.69%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-03 10:49
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.24%EV -10.43%E -5.04%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.19%EV -10.95%E -3.81%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.57%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-03 11:05
PMU (FR)2.04I 49.02%NM 43.02%EV -11.73%E -5.75%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -11.57%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.19%EV -13.89%E -4.15%K -5.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-03 10:50
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 43.79%EV -13.90%E -6.98%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.58%EV -11.57%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -12.61%E -3.71%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-03 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.14%E -4.35%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.38%EV -13.46%E -6.73%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.27%EV -13.12%E -4.69%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.34%EV -20.32%E -6.55%K -9.68%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-03 11:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.90%EV -11.30%E -5.51%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.98%EV -14.67%E -5.34%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -10.04%E -2.87%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-03 10:31
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.07%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.73%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%0.4%2026-05-03 11:25
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-05-03 11:25
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 43.93%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.24%1.6%2026-05-03 11:25
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 43.72%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%3.0%2026-05-03 11:00